La Liga · Regular Season - 10
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Rayo Vallecano host Elche on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rayo Vallecano 53%, draw 26%, Elche 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rayo Vallecano €4.7M, Elche €3.5M.
- All 11 of Rayo Vallecano's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rayo Vallecano goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Rayo Vallecano 2031 · Elche 1936
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rayo Vallecano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2090
Elche · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1973
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rayo Vallecano
14th in La Liga · 8 pts from 7
- 19 SepDOsasuna La Liga2083
- 15 SepWEspanyol La Liga2010
- 12 SepLReal Madrid La Liga1978
- 5 SepWRacing Santander La Liga2050
- 31 AugLBarcelona La Liga2007
Elche
18th in La Liga · 7 pts from 9
- 17 OctDVillarreal La Liga1917
- 11 OctDCelta Vigo La Liga1976
- 18 SepWEspanyol La Liga1908
- 15 SepLReal Madrid La Liga1904
- 12 SepDAthletic Club La Liga1925
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 8 /7 | 45.7 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 10th |
| Elche | 7 /9 | 39.3 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rayo Vallecano: balanced profile (how Beñat San José Gil plays) · Elche: possession-based (how Martín Rodrigo Anselmi plays)