Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 6
Ratchaburi vs Chonburi FC
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
Ratchaburi host Chonburi FC on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Thai League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ratchaburi 56%, draw 25%, Chonburi FC 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ratchaburi €303K, Chonburi FC €160K.
- Thai League 1: S. van Wermeskerken is the highest-rated defender (1766).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ratchaburi goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Ratchaburi 1578 · Chonburi FC 1406
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 2 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ratchaburi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1428
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ratchaburi
4th in Thai League 1 · 10 pts from 5
- 18 OctWChiangrai United Thailand Thai League 11553
- 13 OctLKyoto Sanga AFC Champions League1572
- 9 OctWSukhothai FC Thailand Thai League 11545
- 15 SepLShanghai SIPG AFC Champions League1525
- 3 MayWRayong FC Thailand Thai League 11490
Chonburi FC
16th in Thai League 1 · 0 pts from 5
- 17 OctLPrachuap Thailand Thai League 11370
- 11 OctLSisaket United Thailand Thai League 11440
- 2 MayDKanchanaburi Thailand Thai League 11422
- 5 AprWRayong FC Thailand Thai League 11429
- 14 MarLBuriram United Thailand Thai League 11433
Season outlook
From the Thai League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratchaburi | 10 /5 | 55.8 | 17% | 86% | 0% | 2nd |
| Chonburi FC | 0 /5 | 35.5 | 0% | 2% | 20% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: creative · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ratchaburi: possession-based (how Worrawoot Srimaka plays) · Chonburi FC: direct (how Rangsan Vivatchaichok plays)