Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 8
Ratchaburi vs Buriram United
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
Ratchaburi host Buriram United on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Thai League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ratchaburi 35%, draw 29%, Buriram United 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ratchaburi €308K, Buriram United €453K.
- Thai League 1: S. van Wermeskerken is the highest-rated defender (1766).
- Thai League 1: Bissoli is the highest-rated forward (1760).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Thai League 1): Ratchaburi rank #2 of 15, Buriram United #12.
- All 11 of Buriram United's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ratchaburi goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Ratchaburi 1576 · Buriram United 1657
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 2 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ratchaburi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1428
Buriram United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1574
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ratchaburi
4th in Thai League 1 · 10 pts from 5
- 18 OctWChiangrai United Thailand Thai League 11553
- 13 OctLKyoto Sanga AFC Champions League1572
- 9 OctWSukhothai FC Thailand Thai League 11545
- 15 SepLShanghai SIPG AFC Champions League1525
- 3 MayWRayong FC Thailand Thai League 11490
Buriram United
1st in Thai League 1 · 13 pts from 5
- 18 OctWPattani Thailand Thai League 11664
- 13 OctLBeijing Guoan AFC Champions League1656
- 10 OctWRayong FC Thailand Thai League 11637
- 15 SepDJohor Darul Takzim FC AFC Champions League1641
- 2 MayLPort FC Thailand Thai League 11621
Season outlook
From the Thai League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratchaburi | 10 /5 | 55.7 | 16% | 85% | 0% | 2nd |
| Buriram United | 13 /5 | 62.7 | 64% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ratchaburi: possession-based (how Worrawoot Srimaka plays) · Buriram United: possession-based · shot-heavy