Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
Rapid Vienna 3–1 TSV Hartberg
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Allianz Stadion, Vienna
Rapid ViennaTeam 1891
TSV HartbergTeam 1693Match story
Rapid Vienna · draw · TSV HartbergBefore kick-off: 59% · 23% · 18%
Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Petter Nosakhare Dahl 5', 45+1'
- Jannes Horn 81'
- Magnus Dalpiaz 49'
We gave Rapid Vienna 59% to win: they did.
- Petter Nosakhare Dahl 1849 +275'
Rapid Vienna:Petter Nosakhare Dahl 1849 +27 - Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao 1959 +726'
Rapid Vienna:Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao 1959 +7 - 45'Tobias Kainz 1726 −8 for Nikolaus Feldhofer 1575 0
TSV Hartberg:Tobias Kainz 1726 −8 for Nikolaus Feldhofer 1575 0 - 45'Oliver Lukic 1524 0 for Youba Diarra 1702 −2
TSV Hartberg:Oliver Lukic 1524 0 for Youba Diarra 1702 −2 - Petter Nosakhare Dahl 1849 +27 assist Ercan Kara 1844 +2545+1'
Rapid Vienna:Petter Nosakhare Dahl 1849 +27 assist Ercan Kara 1844 +25 - 49'Magnus Dalpiaz 1561 0 assist Oliver Lukic 1524 0
TSV Hartberg:Magnus Dalpiaz 1561 0 assist Oliver Lukic 1524 0 - 50'Luka·Maric 1450
TSV Hartberg:Luka·Maric 1450 - 57'Konstantin Schopp 1633 0
TSV Hartberg:Konstantin Schopp 1633 0 - Moulaye Haïdara 1594 +8 for Tonni Adamsen 1823 +661'
Rapid Vienna:Moulaye Haïdara 1594 +8 for Tonni Adamsen 1823 +6 - 66'Jed Drew 1718 −1 for Manuel Pfeifer 1646 −1
TSV Hartberg:Jed Drew 1718 −1 for Manuel Pfeifer 1646 −1 - Claudy M'Buyi 1654 +4 for Ercan Kara 1844 +2571'
Rapid Vienna:Claudy M'Buyi 1654 +4 for Ercan Kara 1844 +25 - Marco Tilio 1818 +3 for Petter Nosakhare Dahl 1849 +2771'
Rapid Vienna:Marco Tilio 1818 +3 for Petter Nosakhare Dahl 1849 +27 - 75'Andrija Radulovic 1723 0 for Angelo Gattermayer 1763 −5
TSV Hartberg:Andrija Radulovic 1723 0 for Angelo Gattermayer 1763 −5 - Jannes Horn 1930 +2381'
Rapid Vienna:Jannes Horn 1930 +23 - Louis Schaub 1635 −2 for Nicolas Bajlicz 1833 +1285'
Rapid Vienna:Louis Schaub 1635 −2 for Nicolas Bajlicz 1833 +12 - Nikolaus Wurmbrand 1767 +2 for Yusuf Demir 1894 +1085'
Rapid Vienna:Nikolaus Wurmbrand 1767 +2 for Yusuf Demir 1894 +10 - 89'Jonas Karner 1460 −8* for Marco Hoffmann 1740 −4
TSV Hartberg:Jonas Karner 1460 −8* for Marco Hoffmann 1740 −4 - 90+2'Jonas Karner 1460 −8*
TSV Hartberg:Jonas Karner 1460 −8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 59% · 23% · 18%(Rapid Vienna · draw · TSV Hartberg)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 3–1 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Rapid Vienna €1.3M, TSV Hartberg €781K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Bundesliga): Rapid Vienna ranked #2 of 12, TSV Hartberg #11.
- TSV Hartberg were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rapid Vienna
1st in Bundesliga · 21 pts from 8
- 11 OctWLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1852
- 18 SepWWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1832
- 12 SepWWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1749
- 2 SepLRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1807
- 30 AugWSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1781
TSV Hartberg
6th in Bundesliga · 11 pts from 8
- 11 OctWAustria Lustenau Austrian Bundesliga1698
- 20 SepDLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1718
- 13 SepDWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1726
- 30 AugWRied Austrian Bundesliga1713
- 22 AugWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1699
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Vienna | 21 /8 | 44.4 | 38% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
| TSV Hartberg | 11 /8 | 29.4 | 0% | 11% | 7% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Rapid Vienna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 1929

TSV Hartberg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1835
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rapid Vienna: balanced profile (how Johannes Hoff Thorup plays) · TSV Hartberg: balanced profile (how Markus Schopp plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.