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Premiership · Regular Season - 8

Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow

Rangers crestRangersTeam 1998
3–1
Full time
HT 3–0
Kilmarnock crestKilmarnockTeam 1579

Match story

Rangers · draw · Kilmarnock

Before kick-off: 75% · 17% · 8%

Live chances: Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0% at 90+2'2' · 0–0 · Rangers 75%, draw 17%, Kilmarnock 8%3' · 0–0 · Rangers 75%, draw 17%, Kilmarnock 8%4' · 0–0 · Rangers 74%, draw 17%, Kilmarnock 8%5' · 0–0 · Rangers 74%, draw 17%, Kilmarnock 9%6' · 0–0 · Rangers 74%, draw 17%, Kilmarnock 9%7' · 0–0 · Rangers 74%, draw 18%, Kilmarnock 9%8' · 0–0 · Rangers 73%, draw 18%, Kilmarnock 9%9' · 0–0 · Rangers 73%, draw 18%, Kilmarnock 9%10' · 0–0 · Rangers 73%, draw 18%, Kilmarnock 9%11' · 0–0 · Rangers 73%, draw 18%, Kilmarnock 9%12' · 0–0 · Rangers 72%, draw 19%, Kilmarnock 9%13' · 0–0 · Rangers 72%, draw 19%, Kilmarnock 9%14' · 0–0 · Rangers 72%, draw 19%, Kilmarnock 9%15' · 0–0 · Rangers 71%, draw 19%, Kilmarnock 9%16' · 1–0 · Rangers 90%, draw 8%, Kilmarnock 2%17' · 1–0 · Rangers 90%, draw 8%, Kilmarnock 2%18' · 1–0 · Rangers 90%, draw 8%, Kilmarnock 2%19' · 1–0 · Rangers 90%, draw 8%, Kilmarnock 2%20' · 1–0 · Rangers 90%, draw 8%, Kilmarnock 2%21' · 1–0 · Rangers 89%, draw 8%, Kilmarnock 2%22' · 1–0 · Rangers 89%, draw 8%, Kilmarnock 2%23' · 1–0 · Rangers 89%, draw 8%, Kilmarnock 2%24' · 1–0 · Rangers 89%, draw 9%, Kilmarnock 2%25' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%26' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%27' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%28' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%29' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%30' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%31' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%32' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%33' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%34' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%35' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%36' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%37' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%38' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%39' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%40' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%41' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%42' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%43' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%44' · 2–0 · Rangers 98%, draw 2%, Kilmarnock 0%45' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%45+1' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%HT · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%46' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%47' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%48' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%49' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%51' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%52' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%53' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%54' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%55' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%56' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%57' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%58' · 3–1 · Rangers 98%, draw 1%, Kilmarnock 0%59' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%60' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%61' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%62' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%63' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%64' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%65' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%66' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%67' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%68' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%69' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%70' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%71' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%72' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%73' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%74' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%75' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%76' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%78' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%79' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%80' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%81' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%82' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%83' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%84' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%85' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%86' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%87' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%88' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%89' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%90' · 3–0 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%90+1' · 3–1 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%90+2' · 3–1 · Rangers 100%, draw 0%, Kilmarnock 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Rangers 75% to win: they did.

  1. 15'Rangers:Ryan Naderi 1901 +20 assist James Penrice 2039 +5*
  2. 24'Rangers:Kevin Kelsy 1968 +6*
  3. 44'Rangers:Ryan Naderi 1901 +20 assist Djeidi Gassama 2039 +6*
  4. 45'Rangers:Kosta Nedeljkovic 1752 +5 for Dujon Sterling 2031 −5*
  5. 49'Kilmarnock:Michael Schjonning-Larsen 1724 −5
  6. 64'Rangers:Kosta Nedeljkovic 1752 +5
  7. 73'Rangers:Findlay Curtis 1815 +2 for Kevin Kelsy 1968 +6*
  8. 75'Kilmarnock:Nicky Clescenco 1502 0 for Erik Ring 1698 −11*
  9. 79'Kilmarnock:Djenairo Daniels 1319 0 for Greg Kiltie 1631 −11*
  10. 79'Kilmarnock:Jamie Brandon 1506 −9* for Michael-John Kamson-Kamara 1545 −8*
  11. 87'Rangers:Tochi Chukwuani 1945 −7* for Dan Neil 2041 +5*
  12. 88'Rangers:Badredine Bouanani 2044 −7* for Djeidi Gassama 2039 +6*
  13. 88'Rangers:Bojan Miovski 1886 0 for Min-su Kim 1892 +12*
  14. 90'Kilmarnock:Nicky Clescenco 1502 0 assist Joe Hugill 1622 −12*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GI. Pandur2060+5*
DD. Sterling2031−5*
DE. Fernandez2029+6*
DO. Makhanya1972−1*
DJ. Penrice2039+5*
MD. Neil2041+5*
MN. Raskin2154+3
MMinsu Kim1892+12*
MR. Naderi1901+20
MD. Gassama2039+6*
FK. Kelsy1968+6*
CD. McInnes2016+2*
GC. Ferrie1365−8*
DMichael-John Kamson-Kamara1545−8*
DC. McCarthy1672−11*
DG. Stanger1647−10*
DM. Schjønning-Larsen1724−5
MA. Tshibola1592−12*
MT. Lowery1663−12*
ME. Ring1698−11*
MT. John-Jules1611−9*
MG. Kiltie1631−11*
FJ. Hugill1622−12*
CN. McCann1447−8*
Before kick-off: 75% · 17% · 8%(Rangers · draw · Kilmarnock)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (12%); the result 3–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Rangers €3.1M, Kilmarnock €383K.
  • Draw chance was 18%, below the Premiership average of 25% this round.
  • Style contrast in possession (Premiership): Rangers ranked #2 of 12, Kilmarnock #12.
  • Rangers had won their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Rangers

2nd in Premiership · 16 pts from 7

  • 20 SepWCeltic 1966
  • 9 SepWST Mirren 1979
  • 5 SepWMotherwell 1949
  • 2 SepWFalkirk 1918
  • 30 AugWAberdeen 1906

Kilmarnock

12th in Premiership · 5 pts from 7

  • 19 SepDHeart Of Midlothian 1618
  • 15 SepWHibernian 1609
  • 5 SepDAberdeen 1574
  • 2 SepLST Mirren 1629
  • 29 AugLDundee Utd 1618

Season outlook

From the Premiership simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Rangers16 /766.816%100%0%2nd
Kilmarnock5 /733.70%2%64%12th
Rangers
Kilmarnock

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premiership

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Sterling
D. Sterling

Rangers · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2036

G. Kiltie
G. Kiltie

Kilmarnock · +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1642

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Derek John McInnes

Coach DNA: direct

Neill McCann

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Rangers: dribble-heavy · creative (how Derek John McInnes plays) · Kilmarnock: direct (how Neill McCann plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.