Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15
Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Łódź
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 11:15 UTC · Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow
Raków Częstochowa host Widzew Łódź on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Raków Częstochowa 36%, draw 29%, Widzew Łódź 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Raków Częstochowa €986K, Widzew Łódź €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in attacking (Ekstraklasa): Raków Częstochowa rank #2 of 20, Widzew Łódź #17.
- All 11 of Widzew Łódź's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Raków Częstochowa goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- 0–07%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Raków Częstochowa 1743 · Widzew Łódź 1832
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Raków Częstochowa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 1817
Widzew Łódź · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1816
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Raków Częstochowa
16th in Ekstraklasa · 12 pts from 14
- 8 NovWLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1741
- 2 NovWPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1713
- 24 OctLWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1750
- 16 OctWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1716
- 9 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1731
Widzew Łódź
13th in Ekstraklasa · 14 pts from 14
- 7 NovWPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1800
- 31 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1832
- 23 OctDGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1828
- 16 OctDWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1812
- 11 OctLPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1827
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 12 /14 | 39.9 | 0% | 1% | 21% | 14th |
| Widzew Łódź | 14 /14 | 45.8 | 0% | 7% | 3% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Raków Częstochowa: dribble-heavy (how Dawid Szwarga plays) · Widzew Łódź: balanced profile (how Mateusz Stolarski plays)