Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 13
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · zondacrypto Arena
Raków Częstochowa host Pogon Szczecin on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Raków Częstochowa 33%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Raków Częstochowa €1.0M, Pogon Szczecin €1.2M.
- Ekstraklasa: V. Cojocaru is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2091).
- Pogon Szczecin are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Raków Częstochowa goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Raków Częstochowa 1727 · Pogon Szczecin 1864
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Raków Częstochowa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1791
Pogon Szczecin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2091
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Raków Częstochowa
18th in Ekstraklasa · 6 pts from 11
- 16 OctWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1728
- 9 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1741
- 19 SepLKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1755
- 15 SepLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1778
- 11 SepWMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1767
Pogon Szczecin
4th in Ekstraklasa · 21 pts from 10
- 17 OctWGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1883
- 11 OctWKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1857
- 20 SepWPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1818
- 13 SepWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1764
- 7 SepDWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1766
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 6 /11 | 36.6 | 0% | <1% | 43% | 16th |
| Pogon Szczecin | 21 /10 | 59.7 | 8% | 79% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Raków Częstochowa: dribble-heavy (how Tomasz Kaczmarek plays) · Pogon Szczecin: balanced profile (how Óscar García Junyent plays)