Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 16
Raków Częstochowa vs Piast Gliwice
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow
Raków Częstochowa host Piast Gliwice on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Raków Częstochowa 49%, draw 27%, Piast Gliwice 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Raków Częstochowa €1.0M, Piast Gliwice €588K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Ekstraklasa): Raków Częstochowa rank #1 of 20, Piast Gliwice #18.
- Piast Gliwice are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Raków Częstochowa goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Raków Częstochowa 1746 · Piast Gliwice 1681
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Raków Częstochowa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 1817
Piast Gliwice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1654
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Raków Częstochowa
16th in Ekstraklasa · 12 pts from 14
- 8 NovWLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1741
- 2 NovWPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1713
- 24 OctLWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1750
- 16 OctWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1716
- 9 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1731
Piast Gliwice
7th in Ekstraklasa · 22 pts from 14
- 7 NovDSlask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa1688
- 31 OctDWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1696
- 24 OctWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1672
- 18 OctDGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1686
- 11 OctWWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1688
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 12 /14 | 40.0 | 0% | 1% | 20% | 14th |
| Piast Gliwice | 22 /14 | 46.7 | 0% | 8% | 2% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Raków Częstochowa: dribble-heavy (how Dawid Szwarga plays) · Piast Gliwice: balanced profile (how Daniel Myśliwiec plays)