Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10
Raków Częstochowa 1–4 GKS Katowice
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie, Czestochowa
Raków CzęstochowaTeam 1716GKS KatowiceTeam 1680We gave Raków Częstochowa 47% to win: GKS Katowice won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 47% · 27% · 26%(Raków Częstochowa · draw · GKS Katowice)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–4 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Raków Częstochowa €863K, GKS Katowice €509K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Ekstraklasa): Raków Częstochowa ranked #1 of 19, GKS Katowice #16.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Raków Częstochowa
18th in Ekstraklasa · 3 pts from 9
- 19 SepLKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1755
- 15 SepLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1778
- 11 SepWMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1767
- 6 SepLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1733
- 3 SepLGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1644
GKS Katowice
9th in Ekstraklasa · 12 pts from 8
- 19 SepWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1658
- 12 SepLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1701
- 4 SepLPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1734
- 30 AugWGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1711
- 23 AugWWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1682
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 3 /9 | 37.0 | 0% | <1% | 41% | 16th |
| GKS Katowice | 12 /8 | 44.8 | <1% | 6% | 7% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Raków Częstochowa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.7 (Elite) · Elo 1813
GKS Katowice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1713
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Raków Częstochowa: dribble-heavy (how Tomasz Kaczmarek plays) · GKS Katowice: balanced profile (how Rafał Górak plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.