Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15
Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 19:15 UTC
Radomiak Radom host Wisla Krakow on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Radomiak Radom 41%, draw 29%, Wisla Krakow 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Radomiak Radom €499K, Wisla Krakow €487K.
- Home advantage makes Radomiak Radom the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Ekstraklasa): Radomiak Radom rank #20 of 20, Wisla Krakow #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Radomiak Radom goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–27%
- 2–27%
- 0–16%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Radomiak Radom 1632 · Wisla Krakow 1662
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Radomiak Radom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1644
Wisla Krakow · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1852
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Radomiak Radom
14th in Ekstraklasa · 14 pts from 14
- 7 NovWKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1586
- 2 NovWSlask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa1577
- 24 OctLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1566
- 19 OctLWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1581
- 12 OctLMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1584
Wisla Krakow
5th in Ekstraklasa · 24 pts from 14
- 6 NovWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1650
- 31 OctLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1687
- 24 OctWRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1657
- 16 OctDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1646
- 11 OctLLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1663
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomiak Radom | 14 /14 | 36.8 | 0% | <1% | 44% | 16th |
| Wisla Krakow | 24 /14 | 48.4 | 0% | 12% | 1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Radomiak Radom: direct (how Rafał Grzyb plays) · Wisla Krakow: balanced profile (how Mariusz Jop plays)