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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10

Radomiak Radom 2–3 Motor Lublin

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Radomiaka Radom, Radom

Radomiak Radom crestRadomiak RadomTeam 1585
2–3
Full time
HT 1–0
Motor Lublin crestMotor LublinTeam 1622

Match story

Radomiak Radom · draw · Motor Lublin

Before kick-off: 40% · 30% · 31%

Live chances: Radomiak Radom 0%, draw 4%, Motor Lublin 96% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 40%, draw 30%, Motor Lublin 31%2' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 40%, draw 30%, Motor Lublin 31%3' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 40%, draw 30%, Motor Lublin 31%4' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 30%, Motor Lublin 31%5' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 30%, Motor Lublin 31%6' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 30%, Motor Lublin 31%7' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 30%, Motor Lublin 31%8' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 30%, Motor Lublin 31%9' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 31%, Motor Lublin 30%10' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 31%, Motor Lublin 30%11' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 31%, Motor Lublin 30%12' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 31%, Motor Lublin 30%13' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 31%, Motor Lublin 30%14' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 31%, Motor Lublin 30%15' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 32%, Motor Lublin 30%16' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 32%, Motor Lublin 30%17' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 32%, Motor Lublin 30%18' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 32%, Motor Lublin 30%19' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 32%, Motor Lublin 30%20' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 33%, Motor Lublin 30%21' · 0–1 · Radomiak Radom 19%, draw 26%, Motor Lublin 56%22' · 0–1 · Radomiak Radom 18%, draw 26%, Motor Lublin 56%23' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 37%, draw 33%, Motor Lublin 30%24' · 0–0 · Radomiak Radom 37%, draw 33%, Motor Lublin 30%25' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 69%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 10%26' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 69%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 10%27' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 69%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 10%28' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 69%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 10%29' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 70%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 9%30' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 70%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 9%31' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 70%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 9%32' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 70%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 9%33' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 70%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 9%34' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 70%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 9%35' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 70%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 9%36' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 70%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 9%37' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 70%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 9%38' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 71%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 8%39' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 71%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 8%40' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 71%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 8%41' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 71%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 8%42' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 71%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 8%43' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 71%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 8%44' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 71%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 8%45' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 72%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 8%45+1' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 72%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 7%45+2' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 72%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 7%HT · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 72%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 7%46' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 72%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 7%47' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 72%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 7%48' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 73%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 7%49' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 73%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 7%50' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 73%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 6%51' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 73%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 6%52' · 1–0 · Radomiak Radom 73%, draw 20%, Motor Lublin 6%53' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 30%, draw 44%, Motor Lublin 25%54' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 30%, draw 45%, Motor Lublin 25%55' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 30%, draw 46%, Motor Lublin 25%56' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 29%, draw 46%, Motor Lublin 25%57' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 29%, draw 47%, Motor Lublin 24%58' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 28%, draw 48%, Motor Lublin 24%59' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 28%, draw 48%, Motor Lublin 24%60' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 28%, draw 49%, Motor Lublin 23%61' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 27%, draw 50%, Motor Lublin 23%62' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 27%, draw 51%, Motor Lublin 23%63' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 26%, draw 51%, Motor Lublin 22%64' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 26%, draw 52%, Motor Lublin 22%65' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 26%, draw 53%, Motor Lublin 22%66' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 25%, draw 54%, Motor Lublin 21%67' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 25%, draw 54%, Motor Lublin 21%68' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 24%, draw 55%, Motor Lublin 21%69' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 24%, draw 56%, Motor Lublin 20%70' · 1–1 · Radomiak Radom 23%, draw 57%, Motor Lublin 20%71' · 1–2 · Radomiak Radom 5%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 74%72' · 1–2 · Radomiak Radom 4%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 74%73' · 1–2 · Radomiak Radom 4%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 75%74' · 1–2 · Radomiak Radom 4%, draw 20%, Motor Lublin 76%75' · 1–2 · Radomiak Radom 4%, draw 20%, Motor Lublin 76%76' · 1–2 · Radomiak Radom 3%, draw 19%, Motor Lublin 77%77' · 1–2 · Radomiak Radom 3%, draw 19%, Motor Lublin 78%78' · 1–2 · Radomiak Radom 3%, draw 18%, Motor Lublin 79%79' · 1–2 · Radomiak Radom 3%, draw 18%, Motor Lublin 79%80' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 17%, draw 68%, Motor Lublin 15%81' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 16%, draw 69%, Motor Lublin 14%82' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 16%, draw 71%, Motor Lublin 14%83' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 15%, draw 72%, Motor Lublin 13%84' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 14%, draw 74%, Motor Lublin 12%85' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 13%, draw 75%, Motor Lublin 12%86' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 12%, draw 77%, Motor Lublin 11%87' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 12%, draw 78%, Motor Lublin 10%88' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 11%, draw 80%, Motor Lublin 9%89' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 10%, draw 82%, Motor Lublin 8%90' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 8%, draw 84%, Motor Lublin 8%90+1' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 7%, draw 86%, Motor Lublin 7%90+2' · 2–2 · Radomiak Radom 6%, draw 88%, Motor Lublin 5%90+3' · 2–3 · Radomiak Radom 0%, draw 5%, Motor Lublin 94%90+4' · 2–3 · Radomiak Radom 0%, draw 4%, Motor Lublin 96%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 4% · 96%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Radomiak Radom 40% to win: Motor Lublin won.

  1. 9'Motor Lublin:Christopher Simon 1632 +72*
  2. 18'Motor Lublin:Kamil Lukoszek 1660 +17*
  3. 23'Motor Lublin:Bartosz Bereszyński 1607 +5*
  4. 24'Radomiak Radom:Filip Koperski 1367 −8* assist Jan Grzesik 1647 −18*
  5. 33'Radomiak Radom:Christos Donis 1549 −11*
  6. 38'Motor Lublin:Makan Aiko 1548 +14*
  7. 45'Radomiak Radom:Lucas Lima Linhares 1685 −14* for Elves Baldé 1612 −9*
  8. 53'Motor Lublin:Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 1726 +51* assist Makan Aiko 1548 +14*
  9. 61'Motor Lublin:Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao 1699 −1* for Makan Aiko 1548 +14*
  10. 61'Motor Lublin:Marek Kristian Bartos 1662 −2* for Bartosz Bereszyński 1607 +5*
  11. 61'Radomiak Radom:Guilherme Luiz 1555 −8* for Bi Irié Fernand Gouré 1520 −8*
  12. 62'Radomiak Radom:Abdoul Tapsoba 1658 −10* for Rafał Wolski 1623 −17*
  13. 70'Motor Lublin:Karol Czubak 1744 +47* (pen.)
  14. 73'Radomiak Radom:Ibrahima Camará 1636 −9* for Roberto Oliveira Alves 1717 −20*
  15. 77'Motor Lublin:Mateusz Legowski 1849 −6* for Rony Lopes 1649 +11*
  16. 80'Radomiak Radom:Steve Kingue 1698 −42* assist Ibrahima Camará 1636 −9*
  17. 83'Radomiak Radom:Manu 1343 −8* for Ronaldo Lumungo 1283 −8*
  18. 84'Radomiak Radom:Lucas Lima Linhares 1685 −14*
  19. 86'Motor Lublin:Marek Kristian Bartos 1662 −2*
  20. 87'Motor Lublin:Paskal Konrad Meyer 1451 −6* for Yacine Bourhane 1624 +18*
  21. 90+2'Motor Lublin:Christopher Simon 1632 +72*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-5-1Formations4-1-4-1
GF. Majchrowicz1693−18*
DK. Szcześniak1695−19*
DS. Kingue1698−42*
DF. Koperski1367−8*
DJ. Grzesik1647−18*
MR. Alves1717−20*
MR. Wolski1623−17*
MC. Donis1549−11*
MElves1612−9*
FF. Gouré1520−8*
GG. Tratnik1621+20*
DK. Lukoszek1660+17*
MY. Bourhane1624+18*
MM. Ndiaye1726+51*
MRony Lopes1649+11*
MC. Simon1632+72*
MM. Aïko1548+14*
FK. Czubak1744+47*
CM. Misiura1765+25*
Before kick-off: 40% · 30% · 31%(Radomiak Radom · draw · Motor Lublin)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–3 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Radomiak Radom €416K, Motor Lublin €530K.
  • Home advantage made Radomiak Radom the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Radomiak Radom

15th in Ekstraklasa · 8 pts from 9

  • 20 SepLLech Poznan 1570
  • 14 SepLPiast Gliwice 1586
  • 5 SepDWidzew Łódź 1586
  • 29 AugWCracovia Krakow 1547
  • 23 AugDZaglebie Lubin 1567

Motor Lublin

16th in Ekstraklasa · 6 pts from 9

  • 19 SepDGornik Zabrze 1630
  • 11 SepLRaków Częstochowa 1676
  • 5 SepLLegia Warszawa 1688
  • 29 AugLPiast Gliwice 1633
  • 22 AugDKorona Kielce 1640

Season outlook

From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Radomiak Radom8 /935.40%<1%53%18th
Motor Lublin6 /936.90%<1%40%16th
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ekstraklasa

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

R. Wolski
R. Wolski

Radomiak Radom · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1639

Y. Bourhane
Y. Bourhane

Motor Lublin · +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1607

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Rafał Grzyb

Coach DNA: –

Mariusz Misiura

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Radomiak Radom: direct (how Rafał Grzyb plays) · Motor Lublin: balanced profile (how Mariusz Misiura plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.