Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 9
Radnik Bijeljina 3–1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Gradski stadion Bijeljina, Bijeljina
Radnik BijeljinaTeam 1321Zeljeznicar SarajevoTeam 1370- V. Bradonjic 48', 85'
- M. Karamarko 64' (og)
- M. Stevanovic 15' (og)
We gave Radnik Bijeljina 37% to win: they did.
- 15'M. Stevanovic – (own goal)Zeljeznicar Sarajevo:M. Stevanovic – (own goal)
- M. Andacic –41'Radnik Bijeljina:M. Andacic –
- V. Bradonjic – for A. Konate –46'Radnik Bijeljina:V. Bradonjic – for A. Konate –
- V. Bradonjic – assist M. Ghorzi –48'Radnik Bijeljina:V. Bradonjic – assist M. Ghorzi –
- 57'R. Piloto –Zeljeznicar Sarajevo:R. Piloto –
- M. Karamarko – (own goal)64'Radnik Bijeljina:M. Karamarko – (own goal)
- 68'M. Karamarko –Zeljeznicar Sarajevo:M. Karamarko –
- 70'S. Jovanovic –Zeljeznicar Sarajevo:S. Jovanovic –
- 72'E. Dragovic – for G. Cunha –Zeljeznicar Sarajevo:E. Dragovic – for G. Cunha –
- 72'M. Huskovic – for S. Radovac –Zeljeznicar Sarajevo:M. Huskovic – for S. Radovac –
- H. Karjasevic – for F. Agyemang –75'Radnik Bijeljina:H. Karjasevic – for F. Agyemang –
- B. Meyapya – for M. Andacic –79'Radnik Bijeljina:B. Meyapya – for M. Andacic –
- D. Cosic –82'Radnik Bijeljina:D. Cosic –
- 84'A. Korora – for M. Sosic –Zeljeznicar Sarajevo:A. Korora – for M. Sosic –
- 84'Y. Dabo – for A. Kulis –Zeljeznicar Sarajevo:Y. Dabo – for A. Kulis –
- V. Bradonjic –85'Radnik Bijeljina:V. Bradonjic –
- V. Bradonjic –85'Radnik Bijeljina:V. Bradonjic –
- I. Boonen – for O. Klenpic –90'Radnik Bijeljina:I. Boonen – for O. Klenpic –
- B. Dimitric – for A. Markovic –90'Radnik Bijeljina:B. Dimitric – for A. Markovic –
Before kick-off (provisional): 37% · 29% · 34%(Radnik Bijeljina · draw · Zeljeznicar Sarajevo)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–1 had 4%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Radnik Bijeljina €127K, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo €200K.
- Home advantage made Radnik Bijeljina the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Dušan Marković, Andrija Marković, N. Djuric, M. Ghorzi, S. Radović, E. Črnko, Đ. Ćosić, I. Desouza, Ivan Nikolov and A. Hrvanović (Radnik Bijeljina) had not played for over 90 days.
- V. Muftić, P. Galchev, S. Krpić, Vini Peixoto, B. Nastić, C. Seedorf and S. Radovac (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Radnik Bijeljina
10th in Premijer Liga · 4 pts from 8
- 11 AprLZeljeznicar Sarajevo Bosnia Premijer Liga1314
- 14 MarDSloga Doboj Bosnia Premijer Liga1279
- 8 MarLZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1293
- 28 FebWVelež Bosnia Premijer Liga1309
- 21 FebDRudar Prijedor Bosnia Premijer Liga1317
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
4th in Premijer Liga · 12 pts from 8
- 29 AugDSiroki Brijeg Bosnia Premijer Liga1303
- 11 AprWRadnik Bijeljina Bosnia Premijer Liga1438
- 14 MarLBorac Banja Luka Bosnia Premijer Liga1462
- 7 MarWSloga Doboj Bosnia Premijer Liga1429
- 2 MarLZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1441
Season outlook
From the Premijer Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnik Bijeljina | 4 /8 | 39.2 | 0% | 4% | 55% | 9th |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 12 /8 | 49.5 | <1% | 44% | 8% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1582
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –