Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 14
Radnik Bijeljina vs Velež
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Gradski stadion Bijeljina, Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina host Velež on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premijer Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Radnik Bijeljina 40%, draw 29%, Velež 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Radnik Bijeljina €149K, Velež €168K.
- Home advantage makes Radnik Bijeljina the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Radnik Bijeljina goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–012%
- 0–010%
- 0–110%
- 2–18%
- 2–08%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Radnik Bijeljina 1348 · Velež 1360
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Radnik Bijeljina · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1472
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Radnik Bijeljina
9th in Premijer Liga · 11 pts from 13
- 8 NovLBorac Banja Luka Bosnia Premijer Liga1302
- 31 OctWSiroki Brijeg Bosnia Premijer Liga1290
- 23 OctLZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1293
- 17 OctDFK Sarajevo Bosnia Premijer Liga1293
- 11 AprLZeljeznicar Sarajevo Bosnia Premijer Liga1315
Velež
7th in Premijer Liga · 12 pts from 12
- 7 NovDČelik Bosnia Premijer Liga1350
- 1 NovWSloga Doboj Bosnia Premijer Liga1391
- 25 OctLBSK Banja Luka Bosnia Premijer Liga1313
- 30 JulLDunajska Streda UEFA Conference League1361
- 23 JulLDunajska Streda UEFA Conference League1357
Season outlook
From the Premijer Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnik Bijeljina | 11 /13 | 41.7 | 0% | 17% | 34% | 5th |
| Velež | 12 /12 | 42.1 | 0% | 18% | 32% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –