Super Liga · Regular Season - 13
Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Radnicki NIS host Novi Pazar on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Super Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Radnicki NIS 37%, draw 29%, Novi Pazar 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Radnicki NIS €419K, Novi Pazar €395K.
- Home advantage makes Radnicki NIS the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Radnicki NIS goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Radnicki NIS 1531 · Novi Pazar 1538
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Radnicki NIS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1654
Novi Pazar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1629
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Radnicki NIS
13th in Super Liga · 8 pts from 11
- 16 OctLRadnik Surdulica Serbian Super Liga1552
- 11 OctLVojvodina Serbian Super Liga1542
- 20 SepLFK Crvena Zvezda Serbian Super Liga1485
- 13 SepWOFK Beograd Serbian Super Liga1480
- 5 SepLMladost Lucani Serbian Super Liga1544
Novi Pazar
9th in Super Liga · 13 pts from 12
- 18 OctLIMT Novi Beograd Serbian Super Liga1557
- 11 OctLFK Partizan Serbian Super Liga1537
- 19 SepDZemun Serbian Super Liga1554
- 12 SepDCukaricki Serbian Super Liga1577
- 4 SepWŽelezničar Pančevo Serbian Super Liga1539
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki NIS | 8 /11 | 26.0 | 0% | <1% | 58% | 12th |
| Novi Pazar | 13 /12 | 31.0 | 0% | 3% | 15% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: low-volume · direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Radnicki NIS: balanced profile (how Marko Nedic plays) · Novi Pazar: balanced profile (how Nenad Lalatović plays)