Super Liga · Regular Season - 11
Radnicki 1923 0–3 FK Crvena Zvezda
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Čika Dača Stadium, Kragujevac
Radnicki 1923Team 1573
FK Crvena ZvezdaTeam 1928Match story
Radnicki 1923 · draw · FK Crvena ZvezdaBefore kick-off: 15% · 22% · 64%
Last reading, 90': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Bamba Dieng 48'
- stefan gudelj 58'
- Marko Arnautović 88'
We gave FK Crvena Zvezda 64% to win: they did.
- 23'Osman Bukari 1905 0* for Muhammed Cham Saracevic 1901 −5*
FK Crvena Zvezda:Osman Bukari 1905 0* for Muhammed Cham Saracevic 1901 −5* - Miloš Ristić 1609 −15*29'
Radnicki 1923:Miloš Ristić 1609 −15* - Jovan Ilic 1545 −9* for Issa·Bah 1590 −10*45'
Radnicki 1923:Jovan Ilic 1545 −9* for Issa·Bah 1590 −10* - 45+1'Mihailo Ristić 1763 +4*
FK Crvena Zvezda:Mihailo Ristić 1763 +4* - 48'Bamba Dieng 1986 +13* assist Osman Bukari 1905 0*
FK Crvena Zvezda:Bamba Dieng 1986 +13* assist Osman Bukari 1905 0* - 58'stefan gudelj 1787 +43 assist Vasilije Kostov 2057 +18
FK Crvena Zvezda:stefan gudelj 1787 +43 assist Vasilije Kostov 2057 +18 - V. Tomić 1225 −8* for hassan hilo 1567 −10*61'
Radnicki 1923:V. Tomić 1225 −8* for hassan hilo 1567 −10* - Mohamed Mezghrani 1473 −11* for Miloš Ristić 1609 −15*61'
Radnicki 1923:Mohamed Mezghrani 1473 −11* for Miloš Ristić 1609 −15* - Semir Alic 1434 −8* for Jovan Živković 1417 −8*61'
Radnicki 1923:Semir Alic 1434 −8* for Jovan Živković 1417 −8* - 63'Franklin Tebo Uchenna 1946 0* for Derrick Luckassen 1824 +16*
FK Crvena Zvezda:Franklin Tebo Uchenna 1946 0* for Derrick Luckassen 1824 +16* - 79'Marko Arnautović 1560 −10* for Bamba Dieng 1986 +13*
FK Crvena Zvezda:Marko Arnautović 1560 −10* for Bamba Dieng 1986 +13* - 79'Rade Krunić 1970 −11* for Vasilije Kostov 2057 +18
FK Crvena Zvezda:Rade Krunić 1970 −11* for Vasilije Kostov 2057 +18 - 79'Kristiyan Balov 1583 +3 for Matej Gashtarov 1760 +40
FK Crvena Zvezda:Kristiyan Balov 1583 +3 for Matej Gashtarov 1760 +40 - Asmir Suljić 1322 −14* for Mićo Kuzmanović 1496 −10*79'
Radnicki 1923:Asmir Suljić 1322 −14* for Mićo Kuzmanović 1496 −10* - 82'stefan gudelj 1787 +43
FK Crvena Zvezda:stefan gudelj 1787 +43 - 88'Marko Arnautović 1560 −10* assist stefan gudelj 1787 +43
FK Crvena Zvezda:Marko Arnautović 1560 −10* assist stefan gudelj 1787 +43
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 15% · 22% · 64%(Radnicki 1923 · draw · FK Crvena Zvezda)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%); the result 0–3 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Radnicki 1923 €432K, FK Crvena Zvezda €3.2M.
- Super Liga: Matheus was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2066).
- Style contrast in discipline (Super Liga): Radnicki 1923 ranked #16 of 16, FK Crvena Zvezda #1.
- Radnicki 1923 were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- FK Crvena Zvezda were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Radnicki 1923
3rd in Super Liga · 17 pts from 9
- 19 SepWOFK Beograd Serbian Super Liga1597
- 12 SepWMladost Lucani Serbian Super Liga1555
- 5 SepDMacva Serbian Super Liga1539
- 29 AugDRadnicki NIS Serbian Super Liga1555
- 22 AugWIMT Novi Beograd Serbian Super Liga1535
FK Crvena Zvezda
1st in Super Liga · 28 pts from 10
- 20 SepWRadnicki NIS Serbian Super Liga1882
- 17 SepWŽelezničar Pančevo Serbian Super Liga1902
- 13 SepWIMT Novi Beograd Serbian Super Liga1905
- 10 SepDRadnik Surdulica Serbian Super Liga1884
- 6 SepWFK Partizan Serbian Super Liga1901
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki 1923 | 17 /9 | 39.3 | <1% | 51% | 1% | 3rd |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 28 /10 | 63.7 | 98% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Radnicki 1923 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1665

FK Crvena Zvezda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2025
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Radnicki 1923: dribble-heavy (how Fedja Dudic plays) · FK Crvena Zvezda: shot-heavy · creative (how Albert Riera Ortega plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.