La Liga · Regular Season - 8
Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · El Sardinero, Santander
Racing SantanderTeam 1941ValenciaTeam 1992We gave Racing Santander 41% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 2'Daniel Raba Antolín 1758 −5* assist Justin De Haas 1977 −3*Valencia:Daniel Raba Antolín 1758 −5* assist Justin De Haas 1977 −3*
- Pablo Ramon Parra 1935 −8*22'Racing Santander:Pablo Ramon Parra 1935 −8*
- Yassir Zabiri 1776 −8* assist Iñigo Vicente 1991 −9*32'Racing Santander:Yassir Zabiri 1776 −8* assist Iñigo Vicente 1991 −9*
- 45'Arnaut Danjuma 1975 −7* for Mouctar Diakhaby 2067 −8*Valencia:Arnaut Danjuma 1975 −7* for Mouctar Diakhaby 2067 −8*
- 45+2'Guido Rodríguez 2108 −10*Valencia:Guido Rodríguez 2108 −10*
- Jorge Salinas Viadero 1942 −8*45+2'Racing Santander:Jorge Salinas Viadero 1942 −8*
- 45+4'Daniel Raba Antolín 1758 −5*Valencia:Daniel Raba Antolín 1758 −5*
- Iván Martín 2042 −9*47'Racing Santander:Iván Martín 2042 −9*
- 58'David Otorbi Ejededawe 1546 −4* for Filip Ugrinic 2082 −7*Valencia:David Otorbi Ejededawe 1546 −4* for Filip Ugrinic 2082 −7*
- 58'Harvey Elliott 2334 −7* for Daniel Raba Antolín 1758 −5*Valencia:Harvey Elliott 2334 −7* for Daniel Raba Antolín 1758 −5*
- Andrés Martín 1972 −8* for André Almeida 2033 −8*61'Racing Santander:Andrés Martín 1972 −8* for André Almeida 2033 −8*
- Aarón Martin Caricol 2007 −9* for Pablo Ramon Parra 1935 −8*61'Racing Santander:Aarón Martin Caricol 2007 −9* for Pablo Ramon Parra 1935 −8*
- 65'David Otorbi Ejededawe 1546 −4* assist Javi Guerra 2168 −4*Valencia:David Otorbi Ejededawe 1546 −4* assist Javi Guerra 2168 −4*
- 72'Pablo Maffeo 2058 −7*Valencia:Pablo Maffeo 2058 −7*
- Pablo García 1750 −8* for Sergio Canales 1826 −16*75'Racing Santander:Pablo García 1750 −8* for Sergio Canales 1826 −16*
- 85'Aliou Dieng 1781 −9* for Javi Guerra 2168 −4*Valencia:Aliou Dieng 1781 −9* for Javi Guerra 2168 −4*
- 86'Arnau Martínez López 2043 −7* for Pablo Maffeo 2058 −7*Valencia:Arnau Martínez López 2043 −7* for Pablo Maffeo 2058 −7*
- Maguette Gueye 1787 −8* for Matteo Prati 1984 −8*87'Racing Santander:Maguette Gueye 1787 −8* for Matteo Prati 1984 −8*
- Asier Villalibre 1833 −9* for Yassir Zabiri 1776 −8*87'Racing Santander:Asier Villalibre 1833 −9* for Yassir Zabiri 1776 −8*
- Iván Martín 2042 −9*90+2'Racing Santander:Iván Martín 2042 −9*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 41% · 28% · 31%(Racing Santander · draw · Valencia)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Racing Santander €3.5M, Valencia €5.0M.
- Home advantage made Racing Santander the favourite: it added 10 points to their win chance; La Liga has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Style contrast in attacking (La Liga): Racing Santander ranked #4 of 20, Valencia #19.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Racing Santander
16th in La Liga · 7 pts from 7
- 19 SepLCelta Vigo La Liga1931
- 16 SepLBarcelona La Liga1891
- 12 SepWAlaves La Liga1916
- 5 SepLRayo Vallecano La Liga1919
- 28 AugWElche La Liga1932
Valencia
19th in La Liga · 4 pts from 7
- 20 SepLReal Sociedad La Liga2009
- 15 SepWAlaves La Liga1977
- 11 SepLSevilla La Liga1914
- 6 SepLBarcelona La Liga1981
- 30 AugLDeportivo La Coruna La Liga2058
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 7 /7 | 38.9 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 18th |
| Valencia | 4 /7 | 40.6 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Racing Santander · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2000
Valencia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2118
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Racing Santander: balanced profile (how José Alberto López Menéndez plays) · Valencia: balanced profile (how Óscar Sánchez Fuentes plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.