La Liga · Regular Season - 13
Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Estadio El Sardinero, Santander
Racing Santander host Real Sociedad on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Racing Santander 24%, draw 27%, Real Sociedad 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Racing Santander €3.7M, Real Sociedad €13.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Racing Santander goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–29%
- 2–28%
- 0–27%
- 0–17%
- 2–16%
- Other scores51%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Racing Santander 1934 · Real Sociedad 2215
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Racing Santander · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1988
Real Sociedad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 2288
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Racing Santander
10th in La Liga · 14 pts from 12
- 7 NovWMalaga La Liga1918
- 1 NovLReal Madrid La Liga1937
- 24 OctWEspanyol La Liga1939
- 18 OctLOsasuna La Liga1949
- 11 OctDValencia La Liga1958
Real Sociedad
5th in La Liga · 22 pts from 12
- 8 NovWRayo Vallecano La Liga2193
- 5 NovDLyon UEFA Europa League2202
- 1 NovLAthletic Club La Liga2279
- 25 OctWLevante La Liga2233
- 22 OctWLillestrom UEFA Europa League2226
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 14 /12 | 39.9 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 17th |
| Real Sociedad | 22 /12 | 64.5 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Racing Santander: balanced profile (how José Alberto López plays) · Real Sociedad: balanced profile (how Pellegrino Matarazzo plays)