Championship · Regular Season - 12
QPR vs Swansea
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Loftus Road, London
QPR host Swansea on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: QPR 37%, draw 29%, Swansea 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: QPR €2.5M, Swansea €3.1M.
- Home advantage makes QPR the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. QPR goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: QPR 1936 · Swansea 1997
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
QPR · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2136
Swansea · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 (Good) · Elo 2046
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
QPR
9th in Championship · 17 pts from 11
- 17 OctLBirmingham England Championship1923
- 14 OctWDerby England Championship1846
- 9 OctDWest Ham England Championship1886
- 19 SepDPreston England Championship1943
- 12 SepDWest Brom England Championship1921
Swansea
1st in Championship · 23 pts from 11
- 17 OctLWest Ham England Championship2027
- 13 OctWMillwall England Championship1967
- 10 OctWNorwich England Championship1968
- 19 SepWLincoln England Championship1975
- 12 SepWBurnley England Championship1961
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 17 /11 | 61.7 | <1% | 3% | 3% | 12th |
| Swansea | 23 /11 | 73.5 | 4% | 37% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
QPR: balanced profile (how Julien Stéphan plays) · Swansea: possession-based (how Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos plays)