Super League · Regular Season - 29
Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center, Qingdao
Qingdao Youth Island host Yunnan Yukun on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Qingdao Youth Island 38%, draw 29%, Yunnan Yukun 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Qingdao Youth Island €265K, Yunnan Yukun €341K.
- Home advantage makes Qingdao Youth Island the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Qingdao Youth Island goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Qingdao Youth Island 1638 · Yunnan Yukun 1695
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Qingdao Youth Island · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1748
Yunnan Yukun · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1784
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Qingdao Youth Island
7th in Super League · 38 pts from 28
- 18 OctLBeijing Guoan Chinese Super League1657
- 11 OctLDalian Zhixing Chinese Super League1641
- 5 SepDWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1661
- 29 AugDTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1679
- 22 AugWShandong Luneng Chinese Super League1663
Yunnan Yukun
6th in Super League · 39 pts from 28
- 17 OctDChongqing Tongliang Long Chinese Super League1720
- 10 OctLShanghai Shenhua Chinese Super League1743
- 6 SepWShenyang Urban Chinese Super League1693
- 29 AugLHangzhou Greentown Chinese Super League1670
- 22 AugDBeijing Guoan Chinese Super League1660
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Youth Island | 38 /28 | 40.2 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 8th |
| Yunnan Yukun | 39 /28 | 42.0 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Qingdao Youth Island: balanced profile (how Bowen Huang plays) · Yunnan Yukun: direct (how Jordi Vinyals Martori plays)