Super League · Regular Season - 28
Qingdao Jonoon 0–4 Shenyang Urban
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:35 UTC · Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao
Qingdao JonoonTeam 1381
Shenyang UrbanTeam 1557Match story
Qingdao Jonoon · draw · Shenyang UrbanBefore kick-off: 29% · 28% · 43%
Last reading, 90+1': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Shenyang Urban 43% to win: they did.
- 7'G. Mbenza 1787 +8 assist Chen Binbin 1804 +24
Shenyang Urban:G. Mbenza 1787 +8 assist Chen Binbin 1804 +24 - Li Suda 1545 012'
Qingdao Jonoon:Li Suda 1545 0 - 30'A. Kouame 1602 +35 for G. Mbenza 1787 +8
Shenyang Urban:A. Kouame 1602 +35 for G. Mbenza 1787 +8 - 41'Pan Ximing 1469 +79
Shenyang Urban:Pan Ximing 1469 +79 - Jin Yangyang 1661 −1445+1'
Qingdao Jonoon:Jin Yangyang 1661 −14 - M. Ristic45+2'
Qingdao Jonoon:M. Ristic - Sun Zheng'ao 1466 −11* for Li Suda 1545 046'
Qingdao Jonoon:Sun Zheng'ao 1466 −11* for Li Suda 1545 0 - Kuang Zhaolei 1303 −8* for Liu Guobao 1026 046'
Qingdao Jonoon:Kuang Zhaolei 1303 −8* for Liu Guobao 1026 0 - 50'Felipe 1740 +10 for H. Zhang 1565 +33
Shenyang Urban:Felipe 1740 +10 for H. Zhang 1565 +33 - Liu Xinyu 816 −7 for Che Shiwei 1295 −10*57'
Qingdao Jonoon:Liu Xinyu 816 −7 for Che Shiwei 1295 −10* - 57'Jeffinho 1818 +22 assist Li Tixiang 1652 +32
Shenyang Urban:Jeffinho 1818 +22 assist Li Tixiang 1652 +32 - Jin Yangyang 1661 −1467'
Qingdao Jonoon:Jin Yangyang 1661 −14 - Jin Yangyang 1661 −1467'
Qingdao Jonoon:Jin Yangyang 1661 −14 - Yi Xinyang 1237 −8* for C. Strandberg 1639 −2269'
Qingdao Jonoon:Yi Xinyang 1237 −8* for C. Strandberg 1639 −22 - Ngan Cheuk-Pan 996 −9* for M. Edjouma 1681 −3675'
Qingdao Jonoon:Ngan Cheuk-Pan 996 −9* for M. Edjouma 1681 −36 - 79'Yan Dinghao 1775 −6* for Tian Deao 1430 +70*
Shenyang Urban:Yan Dinghao 1775 −6* for Tian Deao 1430 +70* - 80'Gao Jiarun 1490 +5 for D. Mawlanniyaz 1741 +29
Shenyang Urban:Gao Jiarun 1490 +5 for D. Mawlanniyaz 1741 +29 - 80'Tian Yinong 1296 −12* for Li Tixiang 1652 +32
Shenyang Urban:Tian Yinong 1296 −12* for Li Tixiang 1652 +32 - 85'A. Kouame 1602 +35 assist Yan Dinghao 1775 −6*
Shenyang Urban:A. Kouame 1602 +35 assist Yan Dinghao 1775 −6* - 90+1'A. Kouame 1602 +35
Shenyang Urban:A. Kouame 1602 +35
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 29% · 28% · 43%(Qingdao Jonoon · draw · Shenyang Urban)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–4 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Qingdao Jonoon €169K, Shenyang Urban €351K.
- Qingdao Jonoon's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
- Shenyang Urban's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.7 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Shenyang Urban's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Qingdao Jonoon
16th in Super League · 14 pts from 27
- 9 OctLBeijing Guoan Chinese Super League1496
- 5 SepLDalian Zhixing Chinese Super League1520
- 29 AugLWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1660
- 23 AugLShanghai SIPG Chinese Super League1604
- 14 AugLShandong Luneng Chinese Super League1623
Shenyang Urban
14th in Super League · 26 pts from 27
- 11 OctDWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1676
- 12 SepLTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1717
- 6 SepLYunnan Yukun Chinese Super League1674
- 29 AugLChengdu Better City Chinese Super League1717
- 23 AugDHenan Jianye Chinese Super League1724
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Jonoon | 14 /27 | 17.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
| Shenyang Urban | 26 /27 | 29.7 | 0% | 0% | 58% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Qingdao Jonoon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1716

Shenyang Urban · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1773
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Qingdao Jonoon: balanced profile (how Milan Ristić plays) · Shenyang Urban: balanced profile (how Sasa Kolic plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.