Stars League · Regular Season - 5
Qatar SC 0–3 Al-Rayyan SC
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 14:45 UTC · Qatar Sports Club Stadium, Doha
Qatar SCTeam 1657Al-Rayyan SCTeam 1940We gave Al-Rayyan SC 52% to win: they did.
Before kick-off (provisional): 22% · 26% · 52%(Qatar SC · draw · Al-Rayyan SC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–3 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Qatar SC €539K, Al-Rayyan SC €2.9M.
- Stars League: Otávio was the highest-rated midfielder (2285).
- Style contrast in attacking (Stars League): Qatar SC ranked #8 of 11, Al-Rayyan SC #1.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Qatar SC
11th in Stars League · 2 pts from 4
- 12 SepDAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1607
- 3 SepLAl Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League1637
- 27 AprLAl-Duhail SC Qatar Stars League1670
- 3 AprLAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1654
- 18 MarDUMM Salal Qatar Stars League1665
Al-Rayyan SC
2nd in Stars League · 10 pts from 4
- 11 SepWAl Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League1891
- 5 SepDAl-Duhail SC Qatar Stars League1850
- 27 AprWAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1818
- 17 MarWAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1884
- 13 MarLAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1857
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar SC | 2 /4 | 10.1 | 0% | 2% | 59% | 11th |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 10 /4 | 23.0 | 32% | 96% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Rayyan SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1326
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Qatar SC: direct (how Bartolomé Márquez López plays) · Al-Rayyan SC: balanced profile (how Vicente Moreno Peris plays)