Stars League · Regular Season - 8
Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Qatar Sports Club Stadium, Doha
Qatar SC host Al-Gharafa on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Stars League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Qatar SC 29%, draw 28%, Al-Gharafa 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Qatar SC €448K, Al-Gharafa €943K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Qatar SC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Qatar SC 1575 · Al-Gharafa 1741
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Qatar SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1563
Al-Gharafa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1837
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Qatar SC
11th in Stars League · 3 pts from 6
- 17 OctDAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1588
- 9 OctLAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1612
- 12 SepDAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1607
- 3 SepLAl Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League1637
- 27 AprLAl-Duhail SC Qatar Stars League1670
Al-Gharafa
10th in Stars League · 6 pts from 7
- 22 OctDAl Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League1706
- 18 OctDAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1748
- 12 OctLEsteghlal FC AFC Champions League1689
- 8 OctLAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1755
- 15 SepLAl-Hilal Saudi FC AFC Champions League1755
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar SC | 3 /6 | 8.2 | 0% | 0% | 79% | 11th |
| Al-Gharafa | 6 /7 | 11.9 | 0% | 1% | 27% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Qatar SC: direct (how Tintín Márquez plays) · Al-Gharafa: dribble-heavy (how Pedro Martins plays)