Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 8
Qabala 0–4 Sabah FA
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
QabalaTeam 1352Sabah FATeam 1766- A. Khaybulaev 45+2'
- A. Isayev 74', 90+3'
- J. Mickels 88'
We gave Sabah FA 68% to win: they did.
- 45+2'A. Khaybulaev –Sabah FA:A. Khaybulaev –
- 46'T. Puchacz – for J. Bulus –Sabah FA:T. Puchacz – for J. Bulus –
- E. Cekici – for M. Ubochioma –46'Qabala:E. Cekici – for M. Ubochioma –
- 62'J. Mickels – for X. Severina –Sabah FA:J. Mickels – for X. Severina –
- 62'C. Nwachukwu – for Y. Lachaab –Sabah FA:C. Nwachukwu – for Y. Lachaab –
- Bruno Silva – for I. Akinade –67'Qabala:Bruno Silva – for I. Akinade –
- 72'I. Lepinjica – for R. Fernandes –Sabah FA:I. Lepinjica – for R. Fernandes –
- 74'A. Isayev –Sabah FA:A. Isayev –
- Z. Shakarkhanov – for J. Sierra –80'Qabala:Z. Shakarkhanov – for J. Sierra –
- 86'K. Aliyev – for Carlos Eduardo –Sabah FA:K. Aliyev – for Carlos Eduardo –
- 88'J. Mickels –Sabah FA:J. Mickels –
- 90+3'A. Isayev –Sabah FA:A. Isayev –
Before kick-off (provisional): 12% · 20% · 68%(Qabala · draw · Sabah FA)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%); the result 0–4 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Qabala €193K, Sabah FA €983K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Qabala
9th in Premyer Liqa · 4 pts from 7
- 29 AugDŞamaxı FK Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1324
- 3 MayLZira Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1328
- 5 AprWKapaz Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1291
- 15 MarLNeftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1325
- 10 MarLSabah FA Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1347
Sabah FA
2nd in Premyer Liqa · 16 pts from 6
- 13 OctWSlavia Praha UEFA Champions League1785
- 10 SepLManchester United UEFA Champions League1779
- 25 AugWHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1787
- 19 AugLHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1818
- 11 AugWAarhus UEFA Champions League1760
Season outlook
From the Premyer Liqa simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qabala | 4 /7 | 27.8 | 0% | 0% | 81% | 12th |
| Sabah FA | 16 /6 | 70.5 | 39% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sabah FA · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1822
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile