NB I · Regular Season - 14
Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Pancho Arena
Puskas Academy host MTK Budapest on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (NB I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Puskas Academy 48%, draw 27%, MTK Budapest 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Puskas Academy €477K, MTK Budapest €401K.
- Style contrast in discipline (NB I): Puskas Academy rank #10 of 10, MTK Budapest #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Puskas Academy goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 2–08%
- 2–27%
- 1–26%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Puskas Academy 1643 · MTK Budapest 1525
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Puskas Academy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1790
MTK Budapest · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1628
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Puskas Academy
1st in NB I · 24 pts from 13
- 25 OctLNyiregyhaza NB I1648
- 17 OctWUjpest NB I1607
- 11 OctWGyori ETO FC NB I1586
- 18 SepWBudapest Honved NB I1554
- 6 SepLZalaegerszegi TE NB I1587
MTK Budapest
10th in NB I · 13 pts from 13
- 25 OctLFerencvarosi TC NB I1551
- 16 OctWVasas NB I1565
- 10 OctLPaks NB I1533
- 20 SepLGyori ETO FC NB I1556
- 5 SepLKisvarda FC NB I1573
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puskas Academy | 24 /13 | 54.1 | 2% | 74% | <1% | 3rd |
| MTK Budapest | 13 /13 | 36.2 | 0% | 1% | 43% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Puskas Academy: balanced profile (how Levente Babó plays) · MTK Budapest: balanced profile (how Mate Pinezits plays)