Primera División · Clausura - Quadrangular - 3
Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Complejo Deportivo Socialista, Carabobo
Puerto Cabello host Deportivo Tachira FC on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Puerto Cabello 36%, draw 29%, Deportivo Tachira FC 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Puerto Cabello €285K, Deportivo Tachira FC €387K.
- Home advantage makes Puerto Cabello the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Primera División: D. Alfonzo is the highest-rated defender (1729).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Puerto Cabello goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Puerto Cabello 1424 · Deportivo Tachira FC 1487
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Puerto Cabello · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1471
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Puerto Cabello
5th in Primera División · 40 pts from 26
- 18 OctDMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1318
- 15 SepDDeportivo Tachira FC Venezuela Primera Division1440
- 12 SepLCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera Division1410
- 7 SepDUCV Venezuela Primera Division1385
- 3 SepDDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division1454
Deportivo Tachira FC
2nd in Primera División · 51 pts from 26
- 17 OctDCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera Division1323
- 15 SepDPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1522
- 12 SepLEstudiantes de Merida FC Venezuela Primera Division1490
- 6 SepWRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1553
- 2 SepWZamora FC Venezuela Primera Division1488
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puerto Cabello | 40 /26 | 48.4 | 0% | 31% | 0% | 5th |
| Deportivo Tachira FC | 51 /26 | 60.5 | 15% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Puerto Cabello: low-volume (how E. Saragó plays) · Deportivo Tachira FC: low-volume (how Á. Recoba plays)