Primera División · Clausura - Quadrangular - 2
Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Complejo Deportivo Socialista, Carabobo
Puerto Cabello host Caracas FC on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Puerto Cabello 46%, draw 28%, Caracas FC 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Puerto Cabello €285K, Caracas FC €260K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Puerto Cabello goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Puerto Cabello 1424 · Caracas FC 1364
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Puerto Cabello · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1471
Caracas FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1496
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Puerto Cabello
5th in Primera División · 40 pts from 26
- 18 OctDMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1318
- 15 SepDDeportivo Tachira FC Venezuela Primera Division1440
- 12 SepLCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera Division1410
- 7 SepDUCV Venezuela Primera Division1385
- 3 SepDDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division1454
Caracas FC
9th in Primera División · 32 pts from 26
- 18 OctWRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1337
- 16 SepLMetropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1359
- 13 SepLMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1360
- 6 SepWTrujillanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1304
- 2 SepDPortuguesa FC Venezuela Primera Division1326
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puerto Cabello | 40 /26 | 48.4 | 0% | 31% | 0% | 5th |
| Caracas FC | 32 /26 | 39.4 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct · low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Puerto Cabello: low-volume (how E. Saragó plays) · Caracas FC: balanced profile (how N. Sanvicente plays)