Liga MX · Apertura - 17
Puebla vs Atletico San Luis
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Puebla host Atletico San Luis on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Puebla 39%, draw 29%, Atletico San Luis 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Puebla €898K, Atletico San Luis €1.1M.
- Home advantage makes Puebla the favourite here: it adds 10 points to their win chance; Liga MX has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Style contrast in discipline (Liga MX): Puebla rank #17 of 19, Atletico San Luis #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Puebla goals first.
- 1–114%
- 2–18%
- 1–08%
- 1–27%
- 0–17%
- 0–07%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Puebla 1682 · Atletico San Luis 1754
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Puebla · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1748
Atletico San Luis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.3 (Good) · Elo 1777
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Puebla
13th in Liga MX · 19 pts from 16
- 9 NovWClub Queretaro Liga MX1656
- 31 OctLU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1663
- 25 OctLAtlas Liga MX1661
- 22 OctLMonterrey Liga MX1697
- 17 OctDClub Tijuana Liga MX1659
Atletico San Luis
14th in Liga MX · 19 pts from 16
- 7 NovLFC Juarez Liga MX1774
- 31 OctLAtlas Liga MX1784
- 24 OctWAtlante FC Liga MX1775
- 21 OctWClub Queretaro Liga MX1745
- 18 OctDToluca Liga MX1733
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 19 /16 | 20.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
| Atletico San Luis | 19 /16 | 20.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Puebla: direct (how G. Espinoza plays) · Atletico San Luis: balanced profile (how Raul Chabrand plays)