3. Liga · Regular Season - 13
Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Preussenstadion, Munster
Preußen Münster host MSV Duisburg on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Preußen Münster 35%, draw 29%, MSV Duisburg 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Preußen Münster €242K, MSV Duisburg €488K.
- MSV Duisburg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Preußen Münster goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Preußen Münster 1556 · MSV Duisburg 1666
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Preußen Münster · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1540
MSV Duisburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1667
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Preußen Münster
12th in 3. Liga · 12 pts from 10
- 17 OctLSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1524
- 14 OctLFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1538
- 9 OctDRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1535
- 20 SepLWaldhof Mannheim Germany 3 Liga1552
- 16 SepDFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1537
MSV Duisburg
1st in 3. Liga · 25 pts from 10
- 18 OctDFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1686
- 13 OctWFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1663
- 10 OctWHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1652
- 20 SepWSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1626
- 15 SepWHavelse Germany 3 Liga1578
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | 12 /10 | 50.3 | <1% | 4% | 3% | 14th |
| MSV Duisburg | 25 /10 | 70.4 | 51% | 87% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Preußen Münster: balanced profile (how Thomas Wörle plays) · MSV Duisburg: balanced profile (how Dietmar Hirsch plays)