3. Liga · Regular Season - 9
Preußen Münster 1–2 Fortuna Düsseldorf
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · LVM-Preußenstadion, Muenster
Preußen MünsterTeam 1516
Fortuna DüsseldorfTeam 1634Match story
Preußen Münster · draw · Fortuna DüsseldorfBefore kick-off: 34% · 29% · 37%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Felix Higl 53'
- Andreas Müller 65'
- Eric Hottmann 90+2'
We gave Fortuna Düsseldorf 37% to win: they did.
- Rico Preißinger 1653 −22*22'
Preußen Münster:Rico Preißinger 1653 −22* - 28'Elias Arden 1471 +24
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Elias Arden 1471 +24 - 45'Marcel Benger 1660 +7* for Elias Arden 1471 +24
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Marcel Benger 1660 +7* for Elias Arden 1471 +24 - Felix Higl 1556 −9 assist Montell Ndikom 1507 053'
Preußen Münster:Felix Higl 1556 −9 assist Montell Ndikom 1507 0 - 58'Eric Hottmann 1670 +22* for Fabian Schleusener 1635 +15
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Eric Hottmann 1670 +22* for Fabian Schleusener 1635 +15 - 58'Steven Van Der Sloot 1950 +11 for Matthias Zimmermann 1692 +6*
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Steven Van Der Sloot 1950 +11 for Matthias Zimmermann 1692 +6* - Joshua Mees 1664 −14* for Charalampos Makridis 1654 −1060'
Preußen Münster:Joshua Mees 1664 −14* for Charalampos Makridis 1654 −10 - 65'Andreas Müller 1841 +57 assist Anas Slimani 1549 +43
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Andreas Müller 1841 +57 assist Anas Slimani 1549 +43 - Romario Rosch 1586 −567'
Preußen Münster:Romario Rosch 1586 −5 - 67'Anas Slimani 1549 +43
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Anas Slimani 1549 +43 - Louis Philipp Kolbe 1254 −8* for Samuel Moïse Althaus 1292 074'
Preußen Münster:Louis Philipp Kolbe 1254 −8* for Samuel Moïse Althaus 1292 0 - Wesley Adeh 1661 −10* for Romario Rosch 1586 −574'
Preußen Münster:Wesley Adeh 1661 −10* for Romario Rosch 1586 −5 - 78'Yassine Bouchama 1611 −5* for Jorrit Hendrix 1693 +22
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Yassine Bouchama 1611 −5* for Jorrit Hendrix 1693 +22 - 84'Jordi Paulina 1545 −5* for Philipp Förster 1723 +22
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Jordi Paulina 1545 −5* for Philipp Förster 1723 +22 - Antonio Tikvić 1593 −685'
Preußen Münster:Antonio Tikvić 1593 −6 - M. Stuhlmacher 978 −8* for Felix Higl 1556 −986'
Preußen Münster:M. Stuhlmacher 978 −8* for Felix Higl 1556 −9 - Marvin Schulz 1631 −12* for Montell Ndikom 1507 086'
Preußen Münster:Marvin Schulz 1631 −12* for Montell Ndikom 1507 0 - 87'Yassine Bouchama 1611 −5*
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Yassine Bouchama 1611 −5* - 90+2'Eric Hottmann 1670 +22* assist Lukas Bornschein 1469
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Eric Hottmann 1670 +22* assist Lukas Bornschein 1469 - 90+4'Erik Wekesser 1691 +29
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Erik Wekesser 1691 +29
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 34% · 29% · 37%(Preußen Münster · draw · Fortuna Düsseldorf)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Preußen Münster €282K, Fortuna Düsseldorf €448K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 3. Liga matchday 9: 95 points.
- Home advantage made Preußen Münster the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Preußen Münster
8th in 3. Liga · 12 pts from 8
- 9 OctDRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1535
- 20 SepLWaldhof Mannheim Germany 3 Liga1552
- 16 SepDFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1537
- 13 SepWStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1565
- 5 SepWHavelse Germany 3 Liga1586
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10th in 3. Liga · 11 pts from 8
- 11 OctDVerl Germany 3 Liga1656
- 19 SepLAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1667
- 15 SepWSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1664
- 12 SepWMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1631
- 6 SepDFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1636
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | 12 /8 | 54.4 | 1% | 11% | 1% | 10th |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 11 /8 | 59.8 | 4% | 34% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Preußen Münster · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1675

Fortuna Düsseldorf · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1620
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Preußen Münster: balanced profile (how Thomas Wörle plays) · Fortuna Düsseldorf: balanced profile (how Alexander Ende plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.