Championship · Regular Season - 15
Preston vs Southampton
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Deepdale, Preston
Preston host Southampton on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Preston 20%, draw 25%, Southampton 55%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Preston €1.6M, Southampton €5.1M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Championship matchday 15: 318 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Preston goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 1–36%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Preston 1802 · Southampton 2120
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Preston · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1808
Southampton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2036
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Preston
24th in Championship · 4 pts from 11
- 17 OctLWrexham England Championship1796
- 13 OctLBirmingham England Championship1826
- 10 OctLMillwall England Championship1815
- 19 SepDQPR England Championship1818
- 12 SepLLincoln England Championship1830
Southampton
8th in Championship · 17 pts from 11
- 17 OctDBolton England Championship2111
- 14 OctWNorwich England Championship2077
- 11 OctWPortsmouth England Championship2116
- 19 SepLWrexham England Championship2168
- 12 SepWBristol City England Championship2154
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 4 /11 | 38.1 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 24th |
| Southampton | 17 /11 | 76.2 | 8% | 55% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Preston: balanced profile (how G. Alexander plays) · Southampton: possession-based (how Tonda Eckert plays)