Championship · Regular Season - 14
Preston vs Sheffield Utd
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Deepdale, Preston
Preston host Sheffield Utd on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Preston 28%, draw 28%, Sheffield Utd 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Preston €1.6M, Sheffield Utd €4.1M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Championship matchday 14: 177 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Preston goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Preston 1805 · Sheffield Utd 1982
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Preston · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1808
Sheffield Utd · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.3 (Good) · Elo 2034
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Preston
24th in Championship · 4 pts from 11
- 17 OctLWrexham England Championship1796
- 13 OctLBirmingham England Championship1826
- 10 OctLMillwall England Championship1815
- 19 SepDQPR England Championship1818
- 12 SepLLincoln England Championship1830
Sheffield Utd
11th in Championship · 15 pts from 11
- 17 OctWBristol City England Championship1962
- 14 OctLPortsmouth England Championship2005
- 10 OctWLincoln England Championship1972
- 19 SepLStoke City England Championship1935
- 16 SepLFleetwood Town England League Cup1924
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 4 /11 | 38.2 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 24th |
| Sheffield Utd | 15 /11 | 63.4 | <1% | 6% | 2% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Preston: balanced profile (how Graham Robert Alexander plays) · Sheffield Utd: balanced profile (how Christopher John Wilder plays)