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Championship · Regular Season - 9

Preston 0–1 Millwall

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Deepdale Stadium, Preston

Preston crestPrestonTeam 1785
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Millwall crestMillwallTeam 1961

Match story

Preston · draw · Millwall

Before kick-off: 28% · 30% · 42%

Live chances: Preston 0%, draw 5%, Millwall 95% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 30%, Millwall 42%3' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 30%, Millwall 42%4' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 30%, Millwall 42%6' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 30%, Millwall 42%7' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 30%, Millwall 42%8' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 31%, Millwall 42%10' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 31%, Millwall 41%11' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 31%, Millwall 41%12' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 31%, Millwall 41%14' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 32%, Millwall 41%15' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 32%, Millwall 41%16' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 32%, Millwall 40%17' · 0–0 · Preston 28%, draw 32%, Millwall 40%19' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 33%, Millwall 40%20' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 33%, Millwall 40%21' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 33%, Millwall 40%22' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 33%, Millwall 40%23' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 33%, Millwall 39%25' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 34%, Millwall 39%26' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 34%, Millwall 39%28' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 34%, Millwall 39%29' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 35%, Millwall 38%30' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 35%, Millwall 38%31' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 35%, Millwall 38%32' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 36%, Millwall 38%33' · 0–0 · Preston 27%, draw 36%, Millwall 38%35' · 0–0 · Preston 26%, draw 36%, Millwall 37%36' · 0–0 · Preston 26%, draw 37%, Millwall 37%38' · 0–0 · Preston 26%, draw 37%, Millwall 37%39' · 0–0 · Preston 26%, draw 38%, Millwall 36%40' · 0–0 · Preston 26%, draw 38%, Millwall 36%41' · 0–0 · Preston 26%, draw 38%, Millwall 36%42' · 0–0 · Preston 26%, draw 39%, Millwall 36%43' · 0–0 · Preston 26%, draw 39%, Millwall 35%44' · 0–0 · Preston 26%, draw 39%, Millwall 35%45' · 0–0 · Preston 25%, draw 40%, Millwall 35%45+1' · 0–0 · Preston 25%, draw 40%, Millwall 35%45+2' · 0–0 · Preston 25%, draw 40%, Millwall 34%45+4' · 0–0 · Preston 25%, draw 41%, Millwall 34%HT · 0–0 · Preston 25%, draw 41%, Millwall 34%46' · 0–0 · Preston 25%, draw 41%, Millwall 34%47' · 0–0 · Preston 25%, draw 42%, Millwall 34%48' · 0–0 · Preston 25%, draw 42%, Millwall 33%50' · 0–0 · Preston 24%, draw 43%, Millwall 33%51' · 0–0 · Preston 24%, draw 44%, Millwall 32%52' · 0–0 · Preston 24%, draw 44%, Millwall 32%53' · 0–0 · Preston 24%, draw 45%, Millwall 32%54' · 0–0 · Preston 23%, draw 45%, Millwall 31%55' · 0–0 · Preston 23%, draw 46%, Millwall 31%56' · 0–0 · Preston 23%, draw 47%, Millwall 30%57' · 0–0 · Preston 23%, draw 47%, Millwall 30%58' · 0–0 · Preston 22%, draw 48%, Millwall 30%59' · 0–0 · Preston 22%, draw 49%, Millwall 29%60' · 0–0 · Preston 22%, draw 49%, Millwall 29%61' · 0–0 · Preston 22%, draw 50%, Millwall 28%62' · 0–0 · Preston 21%, draw 51%, Millwall 28%63' · 0–0 · Preston 21%, draw 52%, Millwall 27%64' · 0–0 · Preston 21%, draw 52%, Millwall 27%65' · 0–0 · Preston 20%, draw 53%, Millwall 26%66' · 0–0 · Preston 20%, draw 54%, Millwall 26%67' · 0–0 · Preston 20%, draw 55%, Millwall 25%68' · 0–0 · Preston 19%, draw 56%, Millwall 25%69' · 0–0 · Preston 19%, draw 56%, Millwall 24%70' · 0–0 · Preston 19%, draw 57%, Millwall 24%71' · 0–0 · Preston 18%, draw 58%, Millwall 23%72' · 0–0 · Preston 18%, draw 59%, Millwall 23%73' · 0–0 · Preston 18%, draw 60%, Millwall 22%74' · 0–0 · Preston 17%, draw 61%, Millwall 22%75' · 0–0 · Preston 17%, draw 62%, Millwall 21%77' · 0–0 · Preston 16%, draw 65%, Millwall 20%78' · 0–0 · Preston 15%, draw 66%, Millwall 19%79' · 0–0 · Preston 15%, draw 67%, Millwall 18%80' · 0–0 · Preston 14%, draw 68%, Millwall 18%81' · 0–1 · Preston 2%, draw 14%, Millwall 84%82' · 0–1 · Preston 1%, draw 14%, Millwall 85%83' · 0–1 · Preston 1%, draw 13%, Millwall 86%84' · 0–1 · Preston 1%, draw 12%, Millwall 86%85' · 0–1 · Preston 1%, draw 12%, Millwall 87%86' · 0–1 · Preston 1%, draw 11%, Millwall 88%87' · 0–1 · Preston 1%, draw 10%, Millwall 89%88' · 0–1 · Preston 1%, draw 10%, Millwall 90%89' · 0–1 · Preston 0%, draw 9%, Millwall 91%90' · 0–1 · Preston 0%, draw 8%, Millwall 92%90+1' · 0–1 · Preston 0%, draw 7%, Millwall 93%90+2' · 0–1 · Preston 0%, draw 6%, Millwall 94%90+3' · 0–1 · Preston 0%, draw 5%, Millwall 95%

Last reading, 90+3': 0% · 5% · 95%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Millwall 42% to win: they did.

  1. 15'Preston:Leo Leroy 1828 −13*
  2. 19'Millwall:Jenson Metcalfe 1962 +40*
  3. 45'Preston:Pol Valentin 1827 −12* for Harry Clarke 1915 −13*
  4. 59'Preston:Delano Burgzorg 1891 −11* for Callum Lang 1820 −12*
  5. 66'Millwall:Luke Cundle 1980 −3* for Kyrell Lisbie 1823 +10*
  6. 66'Millwall:Tristan Crama 2118 −5* for Ryan Leonard 1934 −1*
  7. 71'Millwall:Derek Mazou Sacko 1853 +15*
  8. 72'Preston:Thierry Small 1888 −9* for Andrija Vukčević 1638 −10*
  9. 74'Millwall:Mark Sykes 1931 −6* for Taïryk Arconte 1955 +7*
  10. 79'Millwall:Camiel Neghli 2150 +16* assist Luke Cundle 1980 −3*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-2-3-1
GD. Iversen1875−16*
DO. Offiah1795−11*
DJ. Storey1828−24*
DA. Hughes1740−13*
DA. Vukčević1638−10*
MH. Clarke1915−13*
ML. Leroy1828−13*
MJ. Thompson1776−11*
MA. Devine1836−13*
FC. Lang1820−12*
FJ. Erabi1767−9*
CG. Alexander1882−24*
GF. Marschall1809+17*
DR. Leonard1934−1*
DC. Taylor2140+17*
DJ. Cooper2141−2*
DZak Norton Sturge2117+2*
MD. Mazou-Sacko1853+15*
MJenson Metcalfe1962+40*
MT. Arconte1955+7*
MC. Neghli2150+16*
MK. Lisbie1823+10*
FL. Dykes1924+9*
CA. Neil2116+11*
Before kick-off: 28% · 30% · 42%(Preston · draw · Millwall)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 11%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Preston €2.0M, Millwall €3.1M.
  • Preston's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.7 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Preston

23rd in Championship · 4 pts from 8

  • 19 SepDQPR 1818
  • 12 SepLLincoln 1830
  • 8 SepLWatford 1839
  • 5 SepWBlackburn 1850
  • 29 AugLCharlton 1838

Millwall

11th in Championship · 11 pts from 8

  • 19 SepDWest Ham 1990
  • 15 SepDMiddlesbrough 1998
  • 12 SepLBlackburn 2014
  • 8 SepLNewcastle 1931
  • 5 SepWBolton 1992

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Preston4 /844.90%0%68%24th
Millwall11 /866.31%15%1%6th
Preston
Millwall

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Devine
A. Devine

Preston · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1849

J. Cooper
J. Cooper

Millwall · +1.8 (Average) · Elo 2143

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Paul Heckingbottom

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Alexander Francis Neil

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Preston: balanced profile (how Paul Heckingbottom plays) · Millwall: direct · high-pressing (how Alexander Francis Neil plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.