Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 6
Prachuap vs Bangkok United
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Sam Ao Stadium, Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan
Prachuap host Bangkok United on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Thai League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Prachuap 27%, draw 28%, Bangkok United 45%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Prachuap €148K, Bangkok United €285K.
- All 11 of Bangkok United's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Michel, S. Kanyarot, K. Tsukagawa, P. Praphanth and Édgar Méndez (Prachuap) have not played for over 90 days.
- Prachuap are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Prachuap goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Prachuap 1374 · Bangkok United 1563
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Prachuap from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bangkok United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1592
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Prachuap
2nd in Thai League 1 · 12 pts from 5
- 17 OctWChonburi FC Thailand Thai League 11368
- 11 OctWChiangrai United Thailand Thai League 11370
- 3 MayWUthai Thani Thailand Thai League 11380
- 14 MarDLamphun Warrior Thailand Thai League 11393
- 7 MarWMuangthong United Thailand Thai League 11358
Bangkok United
6th in Thai League 1 · 9 pts from 5
- 18 OctLPort FC Thailand Thai League 11574
- 11 OctWLamphun Warrior Thailand Thai League 11551
- 2 MayWAyutthaya FC Thailand Thai League 11538
- 8 AprWGamba Osaka AFC Cup1555
- 3 AprWSukhothai FC Thailand Thai League 11558
Season outlook
From the Thai League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prachuap | 12 /5 | 45.1 | 1% | 23% | 1% | 6th |
| Bangkok United | 9 /5 | 54.1 | 11% | 79% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Prachuap: balanced profile (how Sasom Pobprasert plays) · Bangkok United: possession-based · creative (how Totchtawan Sripan plays)