Primera División · Clausura - Quadrangular - 1
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez, Araure
Portuguesa FC host Carabobo FC on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Portuguesa FC 24%, draw 27%, Carabobo FC 49%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Portuguesa FC €156K, Carabobo FC €345K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera División Clausura - Quadrangular - 1: 246 points.
- Portuguesa FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Portuguesa FC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Portuguesa FC 1267 · Carabobo FC 1513
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Carabobo FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1568
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Portuguesa FC
6th in Primera División · 39 pts from 26
- 18 OctDUCV Venezuela Primera Division1213
- 16 SepWEstudiantes de Merida FC Venezuela Primera Division1192
- 13 SepDRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1156
- 5 SepDZamora FC Venezuela Primera Division1188
- 2 SepDCaracas FC Venezuela Primera Division1188
Carabobo FC
4th in Primera División · 41 pts from 26
- 17 OctDDeportivo Tachira FC Venezuela Primera Division1494
- 15 SepWDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division1473
- 12 SepWPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1439
- 7 SepWEstudiantes de Merida FC Venezuela Primera Division1439
- 3 SepLRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1401
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa FC | 39 /26 | 45.0 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 6th |
| Carabobo FC | 41 /26 | 51.5 | 0% | 80% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –