Championship · Regular Season - 14
Portsmouth vs Swansea
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Portsmouth host Swansea on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Portsmouth 31%, draw 29%, Swansea 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Portsmouth €1.5M, Swansea €3.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Portsmouth goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Portsmouth 1864 · Swansea 1997
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Portsmouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1978
Swansea · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 (Good) · Elo 2046
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Portsmouth
13th in Championship · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctWNorwich England Championship1801
- 14 OctWSheffield Utd England Championship1748
- 11 OctLSouthampton England Championship1800
- 19 SepDBlackburn England Championship1782
- 12 SepDCharlton England Championship1838
Swansea
1st in Championship · 23 pts from 11
- 17 OctLWest Ham England Championship2027
- 13 OctWMillwall England Championship1967
- 10 OctWNorwich England Championship1968
- 19 SepWLincoln England Championship1975
- 12 SepWBurnley England Championship1961
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 14 /10 | 53.5 | 0% | <1% | 23% | 22nd |
| Swansea | 23 /11 | 73.5 | 4% | 37% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Portsmouth: balanced profile (how John Michael Lewis Mousinho plays) · Swansea: possession-based (how Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos plays)