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Championship · Regular Season - 10

Portsmouth 3–2 Sheffield Utd

Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Portsmouth crestPortsmouthTeam 1760
3–2
Full time
HT 1–0
Sheffield Utd crestSheffield UtdTeam 1996

Match story

Portsmouth · draw · Sheffield Utd

Before kick-off: 25% · 27% · 48%

Live chances: Portsmouth 99%, draw 1%, Sheffield Utd 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 27%, Sheffield Utd 48%2' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 28%, Sheffield Utd 48%3' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 28%, Sheffield Utd 48%4' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 28%, Sheffield Utd 48%5' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 28%, Sheffield Utd 47%6' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 28%, Sheffield Utd 47%7' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 28%, Sheffield Utd 47%8' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 28%, Sheffield Utd 47%9' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 47%10' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 47%11' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 46%12' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 46%13' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 46%14' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 46%15' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 30%, Sheffield Utd 46%16' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 30%, Sheffield Utd 46%17' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 30%, Sheffield Utd 45%18' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 30%, Sheffield Utd 45%19' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 30%, Sheffield Utd 45%20' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 31%, Sheffield Utd 45%21' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 31%, Sheffield Utd 45%22' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 31%, Sheffield Utd 44%23' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 31%, Sheffield Utd 44%24' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 31%, Sheffield Utd 44%25' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 32%, Sheffield Utd 44%26' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 32%, Sheffield Utd 44%27' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 32%, Sheffield Utd 44%28' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 32%, Sheffield Utd 43%29' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 33%, Sheffield Utd 43%30' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 33%, Sheffield Utd 43%31' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 33%, Sheffield Utd 43%32' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 33%, Sheffield Utd 42%33' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 34%, Sheffield Utd 42%34' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 34%, Sheffield Utd 42%35' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 34%, Sheffield Utd 42%36' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 35%, Sheffield Utd 41%37' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 35%, Sheffield Utd 41%38' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 35%, Sheffield Utd 41%39' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 35%, Sheffield Utd 41%40' · 0–0 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 36%, Sheffield Utd 40%41' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 59%, draw 26%, Sheffield Utd 15%42' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 59%, draw 26%, Sheffield Utd 15%43' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 59%, draw 26%, Sheffield Utd 14%44' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 60%, draw 26%, Sheffield Utd 14%45' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 76%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 6%45+1' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 76%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 6%45+2' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 76%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 6%45+3' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 76%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 6%HT · 1–0 · Portsmouth 76%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 6%46' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 76%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 6%47' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 76%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 6%48' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 76%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 5%49' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 77%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 5%50' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 77%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 5%51' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 77%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 5%52' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 77%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 5%53' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 77%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 5%54' · 1–0 · Portsmouth 78%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 5%55' · 2–0 · Portsmouth 96%, draw 3%, Sheffield Utd 0%56' · 2–0 · Portsmouth 96%, draw 3%, Sheffield Utd 0%57' · 2–0 · Portsmouth 97%, draw 3%, Sheffield Utd 0%58' · 2–0 · Portsmouth 97%, draw 3%, Sheffield Utd 0%59' · 2–0 · Portsmouth 97%, draw 3%, Sheffield Utd 0%60' · 2–1 · Portsmouth 79%, draw 17%, Sheffield Utd 4%61' · 2–1 · Portsmouth 80%, draw 17%, Sheffield Utd 4%62' · 2–1 · Portsmouth 80%, draw 17%, Sheffield Utd 3%63' · 2–1 · Portsmouth 80%, draw 17%, Sheffield Utd 3%64' · 2–1 · Portsmouth 80%, draw 16%, Sheffield Utd 3%65' · 2–1 · Portsmouth 81%, draw 16%, Sheffield Utd 3%66' · 2–1 · Portsmouth 81%, draw 16%, Sheffield Utd 3%67' · 2–1 · Portsmouth 81%, draw 16%, Sheffield Utd 3%68' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 28%, draw 54%, Sheffield Utd 18%69' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 27%, draw 55%, Sheffield Utd 18%70' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 27%, draw 56%, Sheffield Utd 17%71' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 26%, draw 57%, Sheffield Utd 17%72' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 58%, Sheffield Utd 17%73' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 25%, draw 59%, Sheffield Utd 16%74' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 24%, draw 60%, Sheffield Utd 16%75' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 23%, draw 61%, Sheffield Utd 15%76' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 23%, draw 62%, Sheffield Utd 15%77' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 22%, draw 63%, Sheffield Utd 14%78' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 21%, draw 65%, Sheffield Utd 14%79' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 21%, draw 66%, Sheffield Utd 13%80' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 20%, draw 67%, Sheffield Utd 13%81' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 19%, draw 69%, Sheffield Utd 12%82' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 18%, draw 70%, Sheffield Utd 12%83' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 17%, draw 71%, Sheffield Utd 11%84' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 16%, draw 73%, Sheffield Utd 11%85' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 15%, draw 75%, Sheffield Utd 10%86' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 14%, draw 76%, Sheffield Utd 9%87' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 13%, draw 78%, Sheffield Utd 9%88' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 12%, draw 80%, Sheffield Utd 8%89' · 2–2 · Portsmouth 11%, draw 82%, Sheffield Utd 7%90' · 3–2 · Portsmouth 93%, draw 6%, Sheffield Utd 0%90+1' · 3–2 · Portsmouth 94%, draw 6%, Sheffield Utd 0%90+2' · 3–2 · Portsmouth 95%, draw 5%, Sheffield Utd 0%90+3' · 3–2 · Portsmouth 96%, draw 4%, Sheffield Utd 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Portsmouth 97%, draw 3%, Sheffield Utd 0%90+5' · 3–2 · Portsmouth 98%, draw 2%, Sheffield Utd 0%90+6' · 3–2 · Portsmouth 99%, draw 1%, Sheffield Utd 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sheffield Utd 48% to win: Portsmouth won.

  1. 27'Portsmouth:Jayden Meghoma 1866 +27
  2. 35'Sheffield Utd:Hamza Choudhury 2006 −3
  3. 41'Portsmouth:Zak Swanson 1924 +49
  4. 44'Sheffield Utd:Hamza Choudhury 2006 −3
  5. 45'Sheffield Utd:Mark McGuinness 1961 0 for Patrick Bamford 1891 −4
  6. 45'Sheffield Utd:Kalvin Phillips 1908 −10* for Ben Brereton 2027 −3
  7. 54'Portsmouth:Adrian Segecic 1962 +59 assist Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 1594 +168
  8. 59'Sheffield Utd:Japhet Tanganga 1987 −1 assist Tahith Chong 1934 −1
  9. 60'Portsmouth:Nicolas Schmid 1938 +21
  10. 60'Sheffield Utd:Sam McCallum 2027 −5
  11. 60'Sheffield Utd:Oliver Arblaster 1871 −8* for Joe Rothwell 1972 −4
  12. 62'Portsmouth:Colby·Bishop 1883 +6 for Marko Milovanović 1673 +30
  13. 67'Sheffield Utd:Thomas Cannon 2005 −6 assist Kalvin Phillips 1908 −10*
  14. 68'Portsmouth:Keshi Anderson 1914 +1 for Abu Kamara 1868 +20
  15. 69'Portsmouth:Ebou Adams 1834 +15 for Iyad Mohamed 1568 +33*
  16. 69'Portsmouth:Terry Devlin 2023 +3 for Zak Swanson 1924 +49
  17. 79'Sheffield Utd:Romelle Donovan 1684 0 for Tahith Chong 1934 −1
  18. 79'Sheffield Utd:Tyrese Campbell 1921 0 for Thomas Cannon 2005 −6
  19. 82'Portsmouth:Ebou Adams 1834 +15
  20. 87'Portsmouth:Odin Bailey 1887 0 for Keshi Anderson 1914 +1
  21. 89'Portsmouth:Ebou Adams 1834 +15

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GN. Schmid1938+21
DZ. Swanson1924+49
DR. Poole1911+23
DM. Dia1740+120
DJ. Meghoma1866+27
MM. Pack1855+20
MI. Mohamed1568+33*
MA. Kamara1868+20
MA. Segecic1962+59
MR. Kavuma McQueen1594+168
FM. Milovanović1673+30
CJohn Mousinho1952+39
GM. Cooper2005−2
DH. Choudhury2006−3
DJ. Tanganga1987−1
DL. Kitching2158−19
DS. McCallum2027−5
MT. Chong1934−1
MSydie Peck2026−5
MJ. Rothwell1972−4
MB. Brereton2027−3
FT. Cannon2005−6
FP. Bamford1891−4
CChris Wilder1988−1
Before kick-off: 25% · 27% · 48%(Portsmouth · draw · Sheffield Utd)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–2 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Portsmouth €1.3M, Sheffield Utd €4.0M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Portsmouth

20th in Championship · 8 pts from 8

  • 11 OctLSouthampton 1800
  • 19 SepDBlackburn 1782
  • 12 SepDCharlton 1838
  • 5 SepWCardiff 1784
  • 29 AugLBristol City 1811

Sheffield Utd

15th in Championship · 12 pts from 9

  • 10 OctWLincoln 1972
  • 19 SepLStoke City 1935
  • 16 SepLFleetwood Town 1924
  • 13 SepLWolves 1982
  • 8 SepWBlackburn 1954

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Portsmouth8 /846.00%0%60%23rd
Sheffield Utd12 /962.8<1%6%2%10th
Portsmouth
Sheffield Utd

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Segecic
A. Segecic

Portsmouth · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1903

J. Tanganga
J. Tanganga

Sheffield Utd · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1988

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

John Michael Lewis Mousinho

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Christopher John Wilder

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Portsmouth: balanced profile (how John Michael Lewis Mousinho plays) · Sheffield Utd: balanced profile (how Christopher John Wilder plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.