Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31
Portland Timbers vs Charlotte
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UTC · Providence Park, Portland
Portland Timbers host Charlotte on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Portland Timbers 32%, draw 29%, Charlotte 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Portland Timbers €1.3M, Charlotte €2.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Portland Timbers goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Portland Timbers 1826 · Charlotte 1983
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Portland Timbers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1908
Charlotte · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1939
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Portland Timbers
11th in MLS · 34 pts from 30
- 18 OctDColorado Rapids MLS1810
- 15 OctLLos Angeles Galaxy MLS1877
- 11 OctDSporting Kansas City MLS1841
- 27 SepLSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1831
- 20 SepLAtlanta United FC MLS1870
Charlotte
5th in MLS · 47 pts from 30
- 17 OctDPhiladelphia Union MLS1955
- 14 OctLColumbus Crew MLS1995
- 10 OctWFC Dallas MLS1996
- 26 SepLChicago Fire MLS1960
- 19 SepWDC United MLS1985
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers | 34 /30 | 38.6 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 24th |
| Charlotte | 47 /30 | 53.0 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Portland Timbers: balanced profile (how Martí Cifuentes Corvillo Bajare plays) · Charlotte: low-block (how Dean Smith plays)