League Two · Regular Season - 14
Port Vale vs Rochdale
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Vale Park, Stoke on Trent
Port Vale host Rochdale on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Port Vale 52%, draw 26%, Rochdale 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Port Vale €313K, Rochdale €385K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Port Vale goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Port Vale 1697 · Rochdale 1561
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Port Vale · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1725
Rochdale · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1641
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Port Vale
21st in League Two · 11 pts from 9
- 17 OctWChesterfield England League Two1683
- 10 OctWGrimsby England League Two1667
- 6 OctWMansfield Town England EFL Trophy1750
- 22 SepDChesterfield England EFL Trophy1676
- 19 SepLWalsall England League Two1685
Rochdale
13th in League Two · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctLCrewe England League Two1587
- 10 OctDTranmere England League Two1595
- 6 OctLHuddersfield England EFL Trophy1384
- 3 OctWSwindon Town England League Two1633
- 26 SepWFleetwood Town England League Two1534
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 11 /9 | 64.4 | 1% | 15% | 3% | 5th |
| Rochdale | 14 /11 | 55.8 | 0% | 2% | 20% | 23rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –