Serie B · Regular Season - 38
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Ponte Preta host Operario-PR on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ponte Preta 29%, draw 29%, Operario-PR 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ponte Preta €198K, Operario-PR €283K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Serie B matchday 38: 219 points.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Serie B): Ponte Preta rank #20 of 23, Operario-PR #3.
- Ponte Preta's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.4 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Operario-PR's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ponte Preta goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Ponte Preta 1378 · Operario-PR 1597
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ponte Preta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.6 (Average) · Elo 1411
Operario-PR · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1662
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ponte Preta
20th in Serie B · 15 pts from 35
- 24 OctDFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1317
- 16 OctDAtletico Goianiense Brazil Serie B1357
- 12 OctLNovorizontino Brazil Serie B1381
- 7 OctLJuventude Brazil Serie B1384
- 3 OctLCuiaba Brazil Serie B1406
Operario-PR
10th in Serie B · 51 pts from 35
- 23 OctWAthletic Club Brazil Serie B1572
- 17 OctLAmerica Mineiro Brazil Serie B1588
- 11 OctLGoias Brazil Serie B1568
- 7 OctLBotafogo SP Brazil Serie B1608
- 2 OctLJuventude Brazil Serie B1659
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 15 /35 | 17.2 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 20th |
| Operario-PR | 51 /35 | 54.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ponte Preta: balanced profile (how Gilson Kleina plays) · Operario-PR: balanced profile (how Alberto Valentim plays)