Serie B · Regular Season - 34
Ponte Preta 1–1 Atletico Goianiense
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Ponte PretaTeam 1368Atletico GoianienseTeam 1697- David da Hora 42'
- João Pedro 87'
We gave Atletico Goianiense 51% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Sergio Palacios –9'Ponte Preta:Sergio Palacios –
- 32'Junior Barreto –Atletico Goianiense:Junior Barreto –
- Danilo Barcelos –38'Ponte Preta:Danilo Barcelos –
- David da Hora – assist Rodrigo Souza –42'Ponte Preta:David da Hora – assist Rodrigo Souza –
- 45'Matheuzinho – for Guilherme Costa Marques –Atletico Goianiense:Matheuzinho – for Guilherme Costa Marques –
- 45'Bruno José – for Leandro Vilela –Atletico Goianiense:Bruno José – for Leandro Vilela –
- 51'Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes –Atletico Goianiense:Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes –
- Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade for Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova Júnior –61'Ponte Preta:Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade for Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova Júnior –
- 63'João Pedro – for Ewerthon Diogenes da Silva –Atletico Goianiense:João Pedro – for Ewerthon Diogenes da Silva –
- Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade73'Ponte Preta:Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade
- Emanuell Silva Ferreira for David da Hora –74'Ponte Preta:Emanuell Silva Ferreira for David da Hora –
- 76'Yuri Henrique Da Silveira Alves – for Guilherme Lopes –Atletico Goianiense:Yuri Henrique Da Silveira Alves – for Guilherme Lopes –
- 84'Yuri Henrique Da Silveira Alves –Atletico Goianiense:Yuri Henrique Da Silveira Alves –
- 87'João Pedro – assist Bruno José –Atletico Goianiense:João Pedro – assist Bruno José –
- Juan Rodrigues Leopoldino – for Danilo90'Ponte Preta:Juan Rodrigues Leopoldino – for Danilo
- Diego Monteiro Leao for Gustavo Telles –90'Ponte Preta:Diego Monteiro Leao for Gustavo Telles –
- Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade90+3'Ponte Preta:Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade
Before kick-off (provisional): 22% · 26% · 51%(Ponte Preta · draw · Atletico Goianiense)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ponte Preta €196K, Atletico Goianiense €560K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Serie B matchday 34: 329 points.
- Ponte Preta's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ponte Preta
20th in Serie B · 13 pts from 33
- 12 OctLNovorizontino Brazil Serie B1381
- 7 OctLJuventude Brazil Serie B1384
- 3 OctLCuiaba Brazil Serie B1406
- 29 SepLBotafogo SP Brazil Serie B1438
- 20 SepWCRB Brazil Serie B1347
Atletico Goianiense
6th in Serie B · 53 pts from 33
- 11 OctDSport Recife Brazil Serie B1733
- 7 OctLCRB Brazil Serie B1754
- 3 OctWAmerica Mineiro Brazil Serie B1751
- 26 SepWGoias Brazil Serie B1719
- 19 SepLSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1683
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 13 /33 | 16.9 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 20th |
| Atletico Goianiense | 53 /33 | 60.0 | <1% | 10% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ponte Preta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1298
Atletico Goianiense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1803
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ponte Preta: balanced profile (how Gilson Kleina plays) · Atletico Goianiense: balanced profile (how Roger Rodrigues da Silva plays)