Premier Soccer League · Regular Season - 10
Polokwane City vs Kruger United
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane
Polokwane City host Kruger United on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (Premier Soccer League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Polokwane City 38%, draw 29%, Kruger United 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Polokwane City €140K, Kruger United €104K.
- Home advantage makes Polokwane City the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Polokwane City goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Polokwane City 1156 · Kruger United 1196
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Polokwane City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1288
Kruger United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1427
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Polokwane City
11th in Premier Soccer League · 7 pts from 8
- 18 OctLSiwelele South Africa PSL1164
- 12 SepDKaizer Chiefs South Africa PSL1182
- 4 SepDMarumo Gallants South Africa PSL1135
- 26 AugDMilford FC South Africa PSL1132
- 11 AugDStellenbosch South Africa PSL1171
Kruger United
12th in Premier Soccer League · 7 pts from 8
- 17 OctWChippa United South Africa PSL1168
- 19 SepLStellenbosch South Africa PSL1185
- 13 SepWTS Galaxy South Africa PSL1092
- 1 SepLOrlando Pirates South Africa PSL1121
- 25 AugLDurban City South Africa PSL1130
Season outlook
From the Premier Soccer League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polokwane City | 7 /8 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 41% | 15th |
| Kruger United | 7 /8 | 31.3 | 0% | <1% | 27% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –