Super Liga · Regular Season - 16
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Politehnica UTM host Sheriff Tiraspol on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Super Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Politehnica UTM 18%, draw 24%, Sheriff Tiraspol 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Politehnica UTM €106K, Sheriff Tiraspol €352K.
- Zé Flores, P. Ademo and M. Ghorbel (Sheriff Tiraspol) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Politehnica UTM goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–37%
- 0–07%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Politehnica UTM 1059 · Sheriff Tiraspol 1415
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Sheriff Tiraspol from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sheriff Tiraspol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1569
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Politehnica UTM
5th in Super Liga · 19 pts from 15
- 29 AugDSireți Moldova Super Liga967
- 30 NovLZimbru Moldova Super Liga1013
- 22 NovWCSF Bălți Moldova Super Liga968
- 9 NovWSpartanii Selemet Moldova Super Liga938
- 1 NovWDacia-Buiucani Moldova Super Liga895
Sheriff Tiraspol
1st in Super Liga · 34 pts from 15
- 29 AugLZimbru Moldova Super Liga1399
- 13 AugLFC ST. Gallen UEFA Conference League1402
- 6 AugLFC ST. Gallen UEFA Conference League1412
- 30 JulLMaccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League1427
- 23 JulLMaccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League1436
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politehnica UTM | 19 /15 | 24.3 | 0% | 13% | 60% | 6th |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 34 /15 | 44.8 | 91% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 8th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.