Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
Polessya host Obolon'-Brovar on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Polessya 71%, draw 18%, Obolon'-Brovar 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Polessya €1.2M, Obolon'-Brovar €301K.
- Draw chance 18%, below the Premier League average of 24% this round.
- Style contrast in attacking (Premier League): Polessya rank #4 of 15, Obolon'-Brovar #13.
- Polessya are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Polessya goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 3–09%
- 1–19%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Polessya 1794 · Obolon'-Brovar 1439
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Polessya · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1876
Obolon'-Brovar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1442
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Polessya
2nd in Premier League · 22 pts from 9
- 18 OctWDynamo Kyiv Ukraine Premier League1781
- 11 OctDBukovyna Ukraine Premier League1756
- 18 SepWKryvbas KR Ukraine Premier League1755
- 13 SepWLivyi Bereh Ukraine Premier League1783
- 4 SepWKudrivka Ukraine Premier League1771
Obolon'-Brovar
13th in Premier League · 7 pts from 8
- 16 OctWVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League1392
- 18 SepDChornomorets Ukraine Premier League1436
- 12 SepLLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1438
- 5 SepLFC Kharkiv Ukraine Premier League1418
- 28 AugDKolos Kovalivka Ukraine Premier League1420
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | 22 /9 | 61.8 | 7% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 7 /8 | 28.8 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Polessya: balanced profile (how Ruslan Rotan plays) · Obolon'-Brovar: direct (how Oleksandr Antonenko plays)