Premier League · Regular Season - 9
Polessya 3–1 Dynamo Kyiv
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
PolessyaTeam 1765Dynamo KyivTeam 1808- Igor Krasnopir 26', 76'
- Igor Krasnopir 68' (pen)
- Taras Mykhavko 19'
We gave Polessya 37% to win: they did.
- Oleg Kudryk 1756 +25'Polessya:Oleg Kudryk 1756 +2
- Yevgen Volynets 1853 +16* for Vladyslav Veleten 1800 +38'Polessya:Yevgen Volynets 1853 +16* for Vladyslav Veleten 1800 +3
- Ilir Krasniqi 1946 +16 for leandro andrade 1861 −6*8'Polessya:Ilir Krasniqi 1946 +16 for leandro andrade 1861 −6*
- 19'Taras Mykhavko 1863 −6 assist Mykola Shaparenko 1858 −13*Dynamo Kyiv:Taras Mykhavko 1863 −6 assist Mykola Shaparenko 1858 −13*
- Igor Krasnopir 1844 +85 assist Oleksandr Andriyevskyi 1774 +12*26'Polessya:Igor Krasnopir 1844 +85 assist Oleksandr Andriyevskyi 1774 +12*
- 39'Vladyslav Dubinchak 1842 −5Dynamo Kyiv:Vladyslav Dubinchak 1842 −5
- Giorgi Maisuradze 1753 +4145+4'Polessya:Giorgi Maisuradze 1753 +41
- Andrusw Araujo 1664 +5345+4'Polessya:Andrusw Araujo 1664 +53
- Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 1876 +16*50'Polessya:Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 1876 +16*
- 54'Valentyn Rubchynskyi 1758 0Dynamo Kyiv:Valentyn Rubchynskyi 1758 0
- 58'Justin Lonwijk 1832 −1 for Mykola Shaparenko 1858 −13*Dynamo Kyiv:Justin Lonwijk 1832 −1 for Mykola Shaparenko 1858 −13*
- 58'Keasse Bah 1549 0 for Vladyslav Kabaev 1785 −3Dynamo Kyiv:Keasse Bah 1549 0 for Vladyslav Kabaev 1785 −3
- Borys Krushynskyi 1806 +11 for Maksym Bragaru 1796 +2360'Polessya:Borys Krushynskyi 1806 +11 for Maksym Bragaru 1796 +23
- Ruslan Babenko 1693 +8 for Oleksandr Andriyevskyi 1774 +12*60'Polessya:Ruslan Babenko 1693 +8 for Oleksandr Andriyevskyi 1774 +12*
- 67'Ruslan Neshcheret 1829 −11*Dynamo Kyiv:Ruslan Neshcheret 1829 −11*
- Igor Krasnopir 1844 +85 (pen.)68'Polessya:Igor Krasnopir 1844 +85 (pen.)
- 70'Andriy Yarmolenko 1499 −10 for Nazar Voloshyn 1852 −4Dynamo Kyiv:Andriy Yarmolenko 1499 −10 for Nazar Voloshyn 1852 −4
- Igor Krasnopir 1844 +85 assist Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 1876 +16*76'Polessya:Igor Krasnopir 1844 +85 assist Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 1876 +16*
- Mykola Gayduchyk 1687 +4 for Igor Krasnopir 1844 +8581'Polessya:Mykola Gayduchyk 1687 +4 for Igor Krasnopir 1844 +85
- 83'Mykola Mykhaylenko 1792 0 for Valentyn Rubchynskyi 1758 0Dynamo Kyiv:Mykola Mykhaylenko 1792 0 for Valentyn Rubchynskyi 1758 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 30% · 33%(Polessya · draw · Dynamo Kyiv)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–1 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Polessya €1.2M, Dynamo Kyiv €1.8M.
- Home advantage made Polessya the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Polessya were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Kyiv were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Polessya
2nd in Premier League · 19 pts from 8
- 11 OctDBukovyna Ukraine Premier League1756
- 18 SepWKryvbas KR Ukraine Premier League1755
- 13 SepWLivyi Bereh Ukraine Premier League1783
- 4 SepWKudrivka Ukraine Premier League1771
- 29 AugWShakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Premier League1729
Dynamo Kyiv
3rd in Premier League · 16 pts from 7
- 11 OctWKarpaty Ukraine Premier League1792
- 19 SepWZorya Luhansk Ukraine Premier League1766
- 14 SepWEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Ukraine Premier League1763
- 6 SepDLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1771
- 16 AugWKolos Kovalivka Ukraine Premier League1770
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | 19 /8 | 59.9 | 5% | 93% | 0% | 2nd |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 16 /7 | 60.1 | 5% | 94% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Polessya · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1860
Dynamo Kyiv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1985
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Polessya: balanced profile (how Ruslan Rotan plays) · Dynamo Kyiv: possession-based · low-block (how Igor Kostyuk plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.