K League 1 · Relegation Group - 34
Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Pohang Steel Yard, Pohang
Pohang Steelers host Jeju United FC on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (K League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Pohang Steelers 39%, draw 29%, Jeju United FC 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Pohang Steelers €300K, Jeju United FC €391K.
- Home advantage makes Pohang Steelers the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (K League 1): Pohang Steelers rank #10 of 13, Jeju United FC #1.
- Pohang Steelers' expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Pohang Steelers goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Pohang Steelers 1547 · Jeju United FC 1575
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pohang Steelers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1548
Jeju United FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1701
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pohang Steelers
9th in K League 1 · 42 pts from 33
- 24 OctDUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11480
- 18 OctDFC Anyang K League 11541
- 13 OctLJohor Darul Takzim FC AFC Champions League1547
- 9 OctLIncheon United K League 11551
- 20 SepWFC Seoul K League 11497
Jeju United FC
7th in K League 1 · 46 pts from 33
- 24 OctLIncheon United K League 11596
- 18 OctLJeonbuk Motors K League 11556
- 10 OctLFC Seoul K League 11614
- 20 SepWGangwon FC K League 11580
- 12 SepDBucheon FC 1995 K League 11609
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers | 42 /33 | 49.1 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 9th |
| Jeju United FC | 46 /33 | 52.9 | 0% | 21% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Pohang Steelers: possession-based (how Tae-Ha Park plays) · Jeju United FC: balanced profile (how Sergio Costa plays)