Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15
Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin host Slask Wroclaw on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Pogon Szczecin 63%, draw 22%, Slask Wroclaw 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Pogon Szczecin €1.3M, Slask Wroclaw €522K.
- Ekstraklasa: V. Cojocaru is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2077).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Pogon Szczecin goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Pogon Szczecin 1866 · Slask Wroclaw 1630
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pogon Szczecin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1949
Slask Wroclaw · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1675
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pogon Szczecin
4th in Ekstraklasa · 24 pts from 12
- 2 NovLRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1912
- 24 OctWRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1915
- 17 OctWGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1883
- 11 OctWKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1858
- 20 SepWPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1813
Slask Wroclaw
16th in Ekstraklasa · 9 pts from 13
- 2 NovLRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1665
- 25 OctWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1616
- 17 OctLMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1591
- 10 OctLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1612
- 18 SepLWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1609
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogon Szczecin | 24 /12 | 59.2 | 5% | 77% | 0% | 3rd |
| Slask Wroclaw | 9 /13 | 32.6 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Pogon Szczecin: balanced profile (how Óscar García plays) · Slask Wroclaw: balanced profile (how Ante Šimundža plays)