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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10

Pogon Szczecin 2–0 Korona Kielce

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Florian-Krygier-Stadion, Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin crestPogon SzczecinTeam 1828
2–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Korona Kielce crestKorona KielceTeam 1736

Match story

Pogon Szczecin · draw · Korona Kielce

Before kick-off: 50% · 28% · 22%

Live chances: Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 50%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 22%2' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 50%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 22%3' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 50%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 22%4' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 50%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 22%5' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 50%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 22%6' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 49%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 22%7' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 49%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 22%8' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 49%, draw 29%, Korona Kielce 22%9' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 49%, draw 29%, Korona Kielce 22%10' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 49%, draw 29%, Korona Kielce 22%11' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 48%, draw 29%, Korona Kielce 22%12' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 48%, draw 29%, Korona Kielce 22%13' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 48%, draw 29%, Korona Kielce 22%14' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 48%, draw 30%, Korona Kielce 22%15' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 48%, draw 30%, Korona Kielce 22%16' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 47%, draw 30%, Korona Kielce 22%17' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 47%, draw 30%, Korona Kielce 22%18' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 47%, draw 30%, Korona Kielce 22%19' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 47%, draw 31%, Korona Kielce 22%20' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 47%, draw 31%, Korona Kielce 22%21' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 46%, draw 31%, Korona Kielce 22%22' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 46%, draw 31%, Korona Kielce 22%23' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 46%, draw 32%, Korona Kielce 22%24' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 46%, draw 32%, Korona Kielce 22%25' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 46%, draw 32%, Korona Kielce 22%26' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 45%, draw 32%, Korona Kielce 22%27' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 45%, draw 32%, Korona Kielce 22%28' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 45%, draw 33%, Korona Kielce 22%29' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 45%, draw 33%, Korona Kielce 22%30' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 45%, draw 33%, Korona Kielce 22%31' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 44%, draw 33%, Korona Kielce 22%32' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 44%, draw 34%, Korona Kielce 22%33' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 44%, draw 34%, Korona Kielce 22%34' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 43%, draw 34%, Korona Kielce 22%35' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 43%, draw 35%, Korona Kielce 22%36' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 43%, draw 35%, Korona Kielce 22%37' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 43%, draw 35%, Korona Kielce 22%38' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 42%, draw 36%, Korona Kielce 22%39' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 42%, draw 36%, Korona Kielce 22%40' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 42%, draw 36%, Korona Kielce 22%41' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 42%, draw 37%, Korona Kielce 22%42' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 41%, draw 37%, Korona Kielce 22%43' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 41%, draw 37%, Korona Kielce 22%44' · 0–0 · Pogon Szczecin 41%, draw 38%, Korona Kielce 22%45+1' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 77%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 5%HT · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 78%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 5%46' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 78%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 5%47' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 78%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 5%48' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 78%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 5%49' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 78%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 5%50' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 78%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 5%51' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 78%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 4%52' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 78%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 4%53' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 79%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 4%54' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 79%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 4%55' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 79%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 4%56' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 79%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 4%57' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 79%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 4%58' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 80%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 4%59' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 80%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 3%61' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 80%, draw 17%, Korona Kielce 3%62' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 80%, draw 16%, Korona Kielce 3%63' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 81%, draw 16%, Korona Kielce 3%64' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 81%, draw 16%, Korona Kielce 3%65' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 81%, draw 16%, Korona Kielce 3%66' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 81%, draw 16%, Korona Kielce 3%67' · 1–1 · Pogon Szczecin 29%, draw 53%, Korona Kielce 18%68' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 82%, draw 15%, Korona Kielce 2%69' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 82%, draw 15%, Korona Kielce 2%70' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 83%, draw 15%, Korona Kielce 2%71' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 83%, draw 15%, Korona Kielce 2%72' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 83%, draw 15%, Korona Kielce 2%73' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 84%, draw 14%, Korona Kielce 2%74' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 84%, draw 14%, Korona Kielce 2%75' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 84%, draw 14%, Korona Kielce 2%76' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 85%, draw 13%, Korona Kielce 2%77' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 85%, draw 13%, Korona Kielce 1%78' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 86%, draw 13%, Korona Kielce 1%79' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 86%, draw 12%, Korona Kielce 1%80' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 87%, draw 12%, Korona Kielce 1%81' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 87%, draw 12%, Korona Kielce 1%82' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 88%, draw 11%, Korona Kielce 1%83' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 88%, draw 11%, Korona Kielce 1%84' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 89%, draw 10%, Korona Kielce 1%85' · 1–0 · Pogon Szczecin 90%, draw 10%, Korona Kielce 1%86' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 99%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%87' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%88' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%89' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%90' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%90+2' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%90+3' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%90+4' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%90+5' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%90+6' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%90+7' · 2–0 · Pogon Szczecin 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Pogon Szczecin 50% to win: they did.

  1. 20'Pogon Szczecin:Alessandro Riccio 1785 +44*
  2. 21'Pogon Szczecin:Óscar García Junyent
  3. 36'Pogon Szczecin:Maciej Wojciechowski 1579 +70*
  4. 45+1'Pogon Szczecin:Maciej Wojciechowski 1579 +70* assist Paul Omo Mukairu 2032 +17*
  5. 56'Korona Kielce:Martin Remacle 1724 −10* for Ondrej Lingr 1788 −5
  6. 56'Korona Kielce:Daniel Bak 1186 −8* for Mariusz Stępiński 1706 −12*
  7. 73'Pogon Szczecin:Kamil Grosicki 1412 −8* for Darko Churlinov 1923 +3*
  8. 73'Pogon Szczecin:Jean-Pierre Nsame 1685 −2* for Jordi Sánchez 1790 +4*
  9. 83'Pogon Szczecin:Kellyn Acosta 1854 −9* for Jan Bieganski 1727 +46*
  10. 86'Pogon Szczecin:Paul Omo Mukairu 2032 +17* assist Jean-Pierre Nsame 1685 −2*
  11. 87'Korona Kielce:Dawid Błanik 1644 −9* for Camilo Mena 1702 −9*
  12. 88'Korona Kielce:Morgan Faßbender 1541 −8* for Patrik Hellebrand 1778 −28*
  13. 90+1'Pogon Szczecin:Lukas Willen 1801 −7* for Benjamin Mendy 1870 +30*
  14. 90+1'Pogon Szczecin:Isaiah·Eichie for Paul Omo Mukairu 2032 +17*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GX. Dziekoński1752−13*
DW. Długosz1753−13*
DS. Rubežić1839−11
DA. Mosór1758−24*
DM. Pięczek1758−13*
MP. Hellebrand1778−28*
MKamil Jakubczyk1685−8*
MC. Mena1702−9*
MM. Ameyaw1811−17*
MO. Lingr1788−5
FM. Stępiński1706−12*
CJ. Zielinski1734−15*
Before kick-off: 50% · 28% · 22%(Pogon Szczecin · draw · Korona Kielce)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Pogon Szczecin €1.3M, Korona Kielce €885K.
  • Ekstraklasa: V. Cojocaru was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2054).
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Ekstraklasa): Pogon Szczecin ranked #19 of 19, Korona Kielce #1.
  • Pogon Szczecin were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Pogon Szczecin

6th in Ekstraklasa · 15 pts from 8

  • 20 SepWPiast Gliwice 1818
  • 13 SepWWieczysta Kraków 1764
  • 7 SepDWisla Plock 1766
  • 29 AugDZaglebie Lubin 1856
  • 23 AugDWisla Krakow 1807

Korona Kielce

7th in Ekstraklasa · 15 pts from 9

  • 19 SepWRaków Częstochowa 1747
  • 15 SepLGornik Zabrze 1763
  • 12 SepWSlask Wroclaw 1744
  • 5 SepDWisla Krakow 1686
  • 28 AugWWisla Plock 1663

Season outlook

From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Pogon Szczecin15 /855.73%56%<1%3rd
Korona Kielce15 /948.0<1%13%2%6th
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ekstraklasa

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

V. Cojocaru
V. Cojocaru

Pogon Szczecin · +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 2054

P. Hellebrand
P. Hellebrand

Korona Kielce · +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1806

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Óscar García Junyent

Coach DNA: direct

Jacek Zieliński

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Pogon Szczecin: balanced profile (how Óscar García Junyent plays) · Korona Kielce: direct (how Jacek Zieliński plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.