Czech Liga · Regular Season - 10
Plzen 3–0 Mlada Boleslav
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadion Mesta Plzne, Plzen
PlzenTeam 1765
Mlada BoleslavTeam 1658Match story
Plzen · draw · Mlada BoleslavBefore kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%
Last reading, 90+1': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- C. Kabongo 2'
- S. Pirgic 21'
- B. Faal 86'
We gave Plzen 50% to win: they did.
- C. Kabongo 1580 +49* assist A. Gabriel 1887 +33*2'
Plzen:C. Kabongo 1580 +49* assist A. Gabriel 1887 +33* - T. Paliscak 1610 +29*13'
Plzen:T. Paliscak 1610 +29* - S. Pirgic 1682 +60* assist P. Hrosovsky 1838 +25*21'
Plzen:S. Pirgic 1682 +60* assist P. Hrosovsky 1838 +25* - A. Gabriel 1887 +33*23'
Plzen:A. Gabriel 1887 +33* - 32'S. John 1742 −13*
Mlada Boleslav:S. John 1742 −13* - C. Souare 1937 +8* for T. Paliscak 1610 +29*46'
Plzen:C. Souare 1937 +8* for T. Paliscak 1610 +29* - A. Sojka 1739 +52*52'
Plzen:A. Sojka 1739 +52* - 60'J. Buryan 1318 −8* for J. Klima 1532 −9*
Mlada Boleslav:J. Buryan 1318 −8* for J. Klima 1532 −9* - 60'J. Kolarik 1517 −8* for S. John 1742 −13*
Mlada Boleslav:J. Kolarik 1517 −8* for S. John 1742 −13* - T. Ladra 1814 +3* for J. Panos 1541 +14*65'
Plzen:T. Ladra 1814 +3* for J. Panos 1541 +14* - B. Faal 1632 +11* for C. Kabongo 1580 +49*65'
Plzen:B. Faal 1632 +11* for C. Kabongo 1580 +49* - 70'M. Subert 1701 −20*
Mlada Boleslav:M. Subert 1701 −20* - 71'M. Zachoval 1514 −8* for F. Matousek 1565 −8*
Mlada Boleslav:M. Zachoval 1514 −8* for F. Matousek 1565 −8* - 71'M. Havran 1340 −8* for M. Subert 1701 −20*
Mlada Boleslav:M. Havran 1340 −8* for M. Subert 1701 −20* - D. Visinsky 1892 −5* for A. Memic 2076 +1471'
Plzen:D. Visinsky 1892 −5* for A. Memic 2076 +14 - L. Cerv 1917 +2 for P. Hrosovsky 1838 +25*78'
Plzen:L. Cerv 1917 +2 for P. Hrosovsky 1838 +25* - 80'F. Spatenka 1267 −8* for D. Langhamer 1704 −22*
Mlada Boleslav:F. Spatenka 1267 −8* for D. Langhamer 1704 −22* - B. Faal 1632 +11*83'
Plzen:B. Faal 1632 +11* - B. Faal 1632 +11* assist A. Gabriel 1887 +33*86'
Plzen:B. Faal 1632 +11* assist A. Gabriel 1887 +33*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%(Plzen · draw · Mlada Boleslav)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–0 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Plzen €1.4M, Mlada Boleslav €477K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Czech Liga): Plzen ranked #1 of 16, Mlada Boleslav #16.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Plzen
10th in Czech Liga · 10 pts from 9
- 20 SepLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1783
- 17 SepLUnion St. Gilloise UEFA Europa League1826
- 13 SepLSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1829
- 9 SepDHradec Králové Czech Liga1887
- 5 SepWArtis Czech Liga1880
Mlada Boleslav
3rd in Czech Liga · 17 pts from 8
- 19 SepWZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1628
- 12 SepLSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1675
- 6 SepWBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1617
- 22 AugWSlovácko Czech Liga1638
- 8 AugWSparta Praha Czech Liga1573
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 10 /9 | 46.9 | 1% | 29% | 0% | 5th |
| Mlada Boleslav | 17 /8 | 45.5 | <1% | 19% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Plzen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1913

Mlada Boleslav · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1808
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Plzen: balanced profile (how Radoslav Kováč plays) · Mlada Boleslav: balanced profile (how Aleš Majer plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.