League One · Regular Season - 14
Plymouth vs Reading
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Home Park, Plymouth
Plymouth host Reading on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Plymouth 51%, draw 26%, Reading 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Plymouth €792K, Reading €518K.
- League One: A. Pepple is the highest-rated forward (2023).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Plymouth goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Plymouth 1918 · Reading 1811
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Plymouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1958
Reading · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1864
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Plymouth
4th in League One · 19 pts from 11
- 17 OctLHuddersfield England League One1938
- 10 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1900
- 6 OctDNewport County England EFL Trophy1747
- 3 OctWLeyton Orient England League One1895
- 26 SepLBurton Albion England League One1916
Reading
7th in League One · 15 pts from 10
- 17 OctLWigan England League One1815
- 13 OctLChelsea U21 England EFL Trophy1723
- 10 OctWMilton Keynes Dons England League One1784
- 3 OctDBradford England League One1804
- 26 SepDWycombe England League One1799
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 19 /11 | 77.5 | 30% | 71% | 0% | 1st |
| Reading | 15 /10 | 65.7 | 2% | 16% | 1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block · low-volume
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Plymouth: direct (how Tom Cleverley plays) · Reading: balanced profile (how Leam Nathan Richardson plays)