League One · Regular Season - 16
Plymouth vs Peterborough
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Home Park, Plymouth
Plymouth host Peterborough on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Plymouth 57%, draw 25%, Peterborough 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Plymouth €731K, Peterborough €482K.
- Style contrast in possession (League One): Plymouth rank #23 of 24, Peterborough #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Plymouth goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 1–08%
- 3–17%
- 2–26%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Plymouth 1909 · Peterborough 1739
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Plymouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1859
Peterborough · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1789
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Plymouth
5th in League One · 23 pts from 14
- 10 NovWSwindon Town England EFL Trophy1663
- 31 OctDReading England League One1905
- 24 OctWCambridge United England League One1897
- 20 OctLStevenage England League One1904
- 17 OctLHuddersfield England League One1919
Peterborough
22nd in League One · 10 pts from 13
- 7 NovLReading England FA Cup1715
- 31 OctLLuton England League One1718
- 27 OctLBradford England League Cup1705
- 24 OctDBromley England League One1732
- 20 OctLHuddersfield England League One1738
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 23 /14 | 75.5 | 13% | 52% | 0% | 2nd |
| Peterborough | 10 /13 | 50.1 | 0% | 0% | 28% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Plymouth: direct (how Tom Cleverley plays) · Peterborough: possession-based (how Robert William Savage plays)